Zimbabwe.

{
  "country": "ZW",
  "features_used": {
    "continent_Africa": 1,
    "continent_Americas": 0,
    "continent_Asia": 0,
    "continent_Europe": 0,
    "continent_Oceania": 0,
    "country_risk_tier": 3,
    "first_seen_month": 10,
    "first_seen_year": 2026,
    "prior_shutdowns_count_24mo": 1,
    "severity_critical": 1,
    "severity_warning": 0,
    "type_censorship": 1,
    "type_mixed": 0
  },
  "honest_caveats": [
    "model below promote floor (c=0.55, n=343) — treat as exploratory",
    "censoring rate in training set: 78%"
  ],
  "incident_type": "censorship",
  "iqr_days": 396,
  "median_days": 205,
  "median_hours": 4920,
  "model": {
    "censoring_rate": 0.7842565597667639,
    "class": "RandomSurvivalForest",
    "feature_names": [
      "country_risk_tier",
      "first_seen_year",
      "first_seen_month",
      "prior_shutdowns_count_24mo",
      "continent_Africa",
      "continent_Americas",
      "continent_Asia",
      "continent_Europe",
      "continent_Oceania",
      "severity_critical",
      "severity_warning",
      "type_censorship",
      "type_mixed"
    ],
    "name": "shutdown_duration_rsf_v1",
    "trained_at": "2026-05-21T12:01:30.451711Z"
  },
  "model_c_index": 0.5455,
  "n_training_samples": 343,
  "p25_hours": 120,
  "p75_hours": 9624,
  "promoted": false,
  "severity": "critical",
  "survival_curve_summary": [
    {
      "hours": 120,
      "survival_prob": 0.9
    },
    {
      "hours": 120,
      "survival_prob": 0.75
    },
    {
      "hours": 4920,
      "survival_prob": 0.5
    },
    {
      "hours": 9624,
      "survival_prob": 0.25
    },
    {
      "hours": 17880,
      "survival_prob": 0.1
    }
  ]
}

{
  "country": "ZW",
  "generated_at": "2026-10-12T05:10:36.111623+00:00",
  "honest_caveat": "Similarity here is BEHAVIORAL, not political. Two countries are near each other because they BLOCK in similar ways — comparable method mix, target categories and temporal shape — which does NOT imply comparable governments, laws or intent. A stable democracy with seasonal sports-piracy blocks can sit near an authoritarian state if their measured blocking footprints rhyme. Feature vectors are SPARSE for low-coverage countries (flagged sparse=true, <3 of 5 behavioral feature families populated) — their neighbors are dominated by regime/continent/cohort one-hots and should be read with low confidence. The 2D graph projection (UMAP or PCA) compresses a 32-dimensional space to 2 and loses information — use the cosine `neighbors` list, not pixel distance in the projection, for any quantitative claim.",
  "method": "standardized-cosine + pca",
  "nearest": [
    {
      "continent": "Africa",
      "country": "BF",
      "risk_tier": 3,
      "similarity": 0.7494,
      "sparse": false
    },
    {
      "continent": "Africa",
      "country": "MZ",
      "risk_tier": 3,
      "similarity": 0.7396,
      "sparse": false
    },
    {
      "continent": "Africa",
      "country": "AO",
      "risk_tier": 3,
      "similarity": 0.7168,
      "sparse": false
    },
    {
      "continent": "Africa",
      "country": "NE",
      "risk_tier": 3,
      "similarity": 0.7085,
      "sparse": false
    },
    {
      "continent": "Africa",
      "country": "CI",
      "risk_tier": 3,
      "similarity": 0.6913,
      "sparse": false
    },
    {
      "continent": "Africa",
      "country": "LY",
      "risk_tier": 3,
      "similarity": 0.6892,
      "sparse": false
    },
    {
      "continent": "Africa",
      "country": "CD",
      "risk_tier": 3,
      "similarity": 0.6403,
      "sparse": false
    },
    {
      "continent": null,
      "country": "TT",
      "risk_tier": null,
      "similarity": 0.6368,
      "sparse": false
    },
    {
      "continent": "Africa",
      "country": "GA",
      "risk_tier": 3,
      "similarity": 0.592,
      "sparse": false
    },
    {
      "continent": "Africa",
      "country": "GH",
      "risk_tier": 4,
      "similarity": 0.5886,
      "sparse": false
    }
  ],
  "query_meta": {
    "continent": "Africa",
    "country": "ZW",
    "dtw_cohort": 3,
    "evidence_count": 480,
    "feature_families_present": 3,
    "feature_families_total": 5,
    "risk_tier": 3,
    "sparse": false
  },
  "version": "v1"
}

{
  "distribution": {
    "A": 81,
    "B": 5,
    "C": 0,
    "F": 0
  },
  "filters": {
    "country": "ZW",
    "incident_type": null
  },
  "rules": {
    "A": "else",
    "B": "n_sources >= 1 AND avg_confidence >= 0.7",
    "C": "n_sources >= 2 AND n_domains >= 3",
    "F": "duration_hours >= 24 AND n_sources >= 2"
  },
  "total": 86,
  "ungraded": 0
}

{
  "country_code": "ZW",
  "coverage_note": "Insufficient probe coverage for ZW: only 7 total probes across 1 tools. We refuse to emit tier labels below 100 probes — see raw rows in tools_ranked instead. A missing tool is more likely an OONI-coverage gap than a working tool.",
  "do_not_share_card_without_caveats": true,
  "endpoints": {
    "info": "/v1/atlas/circumvention/info",
    "leaderboard": "/v1/atlas/evasion/leaderboard",
    "upstream_evasion_table": "/v1/atlas/evasion/ZW"
  },
  "generated_at": "2026-10-12T06:00:13.584980+00:00",
  "headline_basis": "best-of-measured (none cleared try_first or fallback bar)",
  "headline_recommendation": {
    "category": "anonymity-network",
    "confidence": 0.389,
    "n_total_probes": 7,
    "rank_score": 0.3434,
    "success_rate": 0.7143,
    "tool_name": "Tor",
    "tool_note": "Tor uses obfs4 by default. If obfs4 fails, switch to the Snowflake bridge from inside the Tor Browser settings. The OONI tor test does NOT differentiate transports, so this row is the aggregate.",
    "tool_slug": "tor",
    "verdict": "partial"
  },
  "honest_caveats": [
    "PROBE SUCCESS != REAL-USER SUCCESS. DPI vendors increasingly rate-limit real client traffic while letting OONI / Voidly synthetic measurement probes through. Success rates here are an UPPER BOUND on what a real user will see.",
    "Recommendations can become stale within hours. Censorship adapts. If a try_first tool stops working, the next probe rotation (cron daily 06:00 UTC) will catch it but you will see it before we do.",
    "'Try first' is NOT 'safe'. It means 'highest measured success rate, highest probe confidence.' Operational security (unique device, throwaway account, no SIM, no DNS leak, etc.) is the USER's responsibility — none of that is captured here.",
    "Domain-fronted tools (Snowflake, Lantern, Psiphon) are SYSTEMATICALLY UNDER-ESTIMATED. Bootstrap-domain probes do not measure the rotating tunnel endpoints those tools actually use.",
    "Self-hosted WireGuard / OpenVPN on a private IP is INVISIBLE to OONI probes and is not represented here. If you have one, trust it over any commercial recommendation.",
    "Tor rows roll up vanilla / obfs4 / Snowflake / Meek transports. Per-transport granularity needs raw OONI nettests, out of scope for v1.",
    "DO NOT share this recommendation as a forum-shareable card without the caveat block. The do_not_share_card_without_caveats flag in the response is on by design."
  ],
  "informational_disclaimer": "This endpoint is INFORMATIONAL, not a safety guarantee. Probe success is an upper bound on real-user success. User assumes the risk of any tool selected from this ranking. 'Try first' does not mean 'safe' — it means 'highest measured success, highest probe confidence.'",
  "insufficient_coverage": true,
  "lookback_days": 30,
  "min_total_probes_floor": 100,
  "n_tools_measured": 1,
  "n_total_probes": 7,
  "rank_formula": "success_rate * sqrt(confidence) * recency_decay",
  "schema": "voidly-circumvention-recommendation/v1",
  "tier_definitions": {
    "avoid": {
      "description": "High-confidence measurements show <10% probe success. Very likely blocked. Listed for transparency — do not trust the bootstrap path.",
      "label": "Avoid",
      "max_success_rate": 0.1,
      "min_confidence": 0.7
    },
    "fallback": {
      "description": "Either partial measured success (30%+) OR not enough probes to be sure. Worth trying if the try_first tools fail — but expect lower reliability.",
      "label": "Fallback",
      "max_confidence_for_uncertain": 0.5,
      "min_success_rate_lower": 0.3
    },
    "try_first": {
      "description": "High measured success rate AND high probe confidence. Still informational only — DPI vendors increasingly block real clients while letting measurement probes pass, so success_rate is an upper bound.",
      "label": "Try first",
      "min_confidence": 0.7,
      "min_success_rate": 0.7
    }
  },
  "tiers": {
    "avoid": [],
    "fallback": [],
    "try_first": []
  },
  "tools_ranked": [
    {
      "block_rate": 0.2857,
      "blocking_methods": {
        "tor-blocking": 2
      },
      "category": "anonymity-network",
      "confidence": 0.389,
      "confidence_band": "medium",
      "domains_observed": [],
      "first_observed": "2026-09-28T06:00:00Z",
      "last_observed": "2026-09-28T12:00:00Z",
      "n_blocked_probes": 2,
      "n_successful_probes": 5,
      "n_total_probes": 7,
      "n_unique_asns": 0,
      "rank_score": 0.3434,
      "recency_decay": 0.7708,
      "recency_decay_known": true,
      "recency_decay_note": null,
      "success_rate": 0.7143,
      "tier": null,
      "tool_name": "Tor",
      "tool_note": "Tor uses obfs4 by default. If obfs4 fails, switch to the Snowflake bridge from inside the Tor Browser settings. The OONI tor test does NOT differentiate transports, so this row is the aggregate.",
      "tool_slug": "tor",
      "verdict": "partial"
    }
  ]
}