voidly
Active Incident

Confirmed: network disruption in Nepal

Nepal · January 8, 2026 · 53 days

IODA detected significant connectivity drop. 2 critical alerts recorded. CenAlert confirms censorship activity.

Evidence

26%
Anomaly Rate
21
Measurements
70%
Confidence

What This Means

26% of tests showed anomalies, above the typical 1-3% baseline. This suggests potential network interference.

How We Detected This

Data Sourcecensoredplanet + ioda
ML ModelGradientBoosting v3.3 (LOCO median F1 0.87, honest across 127 countries)
Confidence Score70% certainty of censorship
Detection TimeJanuary 8, 2026

Corroborating Evidence (65)

Evidence collected from multiple independent sources. Upstream claims shown in quotes are not Voidly assertions.

IODAInternet Outage Detection & Analysis56 records
outage
"IODA detected critical level outage for Sagarmatha"IODA report
Signal value: 0.01
Mar 3, 2026
View source →
outage
"IODA detected critical level outage for Narayani"IODA report
Signal value: 0.03
Mar 3, 2026
View source →
outage
"IODA detected critical level outage for Sagarmatha"IODA report
Signal value: 0.23
Mar 3, 2026
View source →
outage
"IODA detected critical level outage for Janakpur"IODA report
Signal value: 0.22
Mar 3, 2026
View source →
outage
"IODA detected critical level outage for Narayani"IODA report
Signal value: 0.32
Mar 3, 2026
View source →
+ 51 more IODA records
Censored PlanetUniversity of Michigan research9 records
interference
"unknown"Censored Planet report
Signal value: 0.13
Feb 9, 2026
View source →
interference
"unknown"Censored Planet report
Signal value: 0.17
Feb 9, 2026
View source →
interference
"unknown"Censored Planet report
Signal value: 0.20
Feb 9, 2026
View source →
interference
"unknown"Censored Planet report
Signal value: 0.24
Feb 9, 2026
View source →
interference
"unknown"Censored Planet report
Signal value: 0.30
Feb 9, 2026
View source →
+ 4 more Censored Planet records

What we cannot say

  • Who caused it — measurement data alone does not attribute this to any government, ISP, or other actor.
  • Intent — anomalous or unreachable measurements indicate interference, not a stated motive or a deliberate-vs-incidental determination.
  • Which networks — no specific ASN/ISP is identified for this incident.
  • The mechanism — we cannot state whether this was DNS tampering, TLS/SNI reset, an HTTP blockpage, throttling, or an infrastructure outage.
  • Sub-national scope — measurement is aggregated at the country level; we cannot localize to a province, city, or network segment.

Cite This Incident

Voidly Research. (2026). Confirmed: network disruption in Nepal [NP-2026-0002]. Voidly Global Censorship Index. https://voidly.ai/incident/NP-2026-0002

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