Voidly
Data

Agent summary

Facts: Internet connectivity disruption in Mozambique. Country: Mozambique. Source type: disruption. Source status: active. Reported observation window: 2026-10-08T20:40:00Z to unavailable.

As of linked evidence: . Record generated: 2026-10-09T22:36:37.006480Z; page checked: 2026-10-09T22:36:37.000Z. These are different times.

Stored incident source labels: 1 distinct declared names (ioda). These are historical metadata; qualifying linked sources are shown below. Source names are not independent corroboration.

Cite: Voidly Research. (n.d.). Internet connectivity disruption in Mozambique [MZ-2026-0041]. Voidly Global Censorship Index. https://voidly.ai/incident/MZ-2026-0041

Publication date: Not supplied.

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Incident record · Mozambique

Internet connectivity disruption in Mozambique

Type
disruption
Status
active
Severity
critical
Inspect evidence Cite this incident

Source summary

IODA detected significant connectivity drop in Mozambique. 6 critical alerts recorded.

Open incident JSON
Reported anomaly rate
12.1%

Source-defined signal; not a universal test-failure percentage.

Source measurement count
6

The record’s count can represent aggregate inputs or alerts.

Incident confidence
70%

A source score, not certainty of intentional censorship.

Linked evidence has its own count and confidence fields. These quantities are not interchangeable.

Follow the evidence

6 linked records.

Inspect the observation, the upstream claim and why it was linked.

Qualifying linked evidence sources: IODA (6). Historical incident source labels may include quarantined observations and are not detection evidence by themselves.

Linked observation dates

6 dated · 0 without a verified timezone
IODA6 linked records
Oct 8, 2026 · 20:40 UTCSingle observed timestamp

Each point is a linked record. Horizontal position shows observation time; stacking separates nearby points. The full records below provide the values. This is not a measured outage-duration chart.

Upstream claims are attributed to their source. Multiple records or source names do not by themselves establish independent corroboration.

IODA6 records · open evidence

outage · critical

ioda:alert:bgp:region:2819:1791492000

IODA detected critical level outage for Maputo City

Upstream claim · IODA
Signal value
0.111392
Signal baseline
1,185
Evidence confidence
65%
Link confidence
80%

Why it is linked: Same country and date, critical level IODA alert

Retrieved
2026-10-09 00:00:09.222080 · timezone unspecified
Open IODA entity dashboard (day parameters)
Complete evidence record
{
  "asn": null,
  "blockingMethod": null,
  "citationScope": "signal_window",
  "citationUrl": "https://ioda.inetintel.cc.gatech.edu/country/MZ?from=1791417600&until=1791504000",
  "confidence": 0.65,
  "continent": null,
  "countryCode": "MZ",
  "domain": null,
  "domainCategory": null,
  "exactMeasurementLink": false,
  "id": 536060503,
  "kind": "alert",
  "linkConfidence": 0.8,
  "linkReason": "Same country and date, critical level IODA alert",
  "observedAt": "2026-10-08T20:40:00Z",
  "probeNodeId": null,
  "regionCode": "2819",
  "retrievedAt": "2026-10-09T00:00:09.222080",
  "riskTier": null,
  "signalBaseline": 1185,
  "signalLevel": "critical",
  "signalType": "outage",
  "signalValue": 0.11139240506329114,
  "source": "ioda",
  "sourceRef": "ioda:alert:bgp:region:2819:1791492000",
  "sourceUrl": "https://ioda.inetintel.cc.gatech.edu/country/MZ",
  "unSubregion": null,
  "upstreamCause": null,
  "upstreamClaim": "IODA detected critical level outage for Maputo City",
  "upstreamSeverity": "critical"
}

outage · critical

ioda:alert:bgp:region:2815:1791492000

IODA detected critical level outage for Sofala

Upstream claim · IODA
Signal value
0.022222
Signal baseline
225
Evidence confidence
65%
Link confidence
80%

Why it is linked: Same country and date, critical level IODA alert

Retrieved
2026-10-09 00:00:09.222080 · timezone unspecified
Open IODA entity dashboard (day parameters)
Complete evidence record
{
  "asn": null,
  "blockingMethod": null,
  "citationScope": "signal_window",
  "citationUrl": "https://ioda.inetintel.cc.gatech.edu/country/MZ?from=1791417600&until=1791504000",
  "confidence": 0.65,
  "continent": null,
  "countryCode": "MZ",
  "domain": null,
  "domainCategory": null,
  "exactMeasurementLink": false,
  "id": 536060504,
  "kind": "alert",
  "linkConfidence": 0.8,
  "linkReason": "Same country and date, critical level IODA alert",
  "observedAt": "2026-10-08T20:40:00Z",
  "probeNodeId": null,
  "regionCode": "2815",
  "retrievedAt": "2026-10-09T00:00:09.222080",
  "riskTier": null,
  "signalBaseline": 225,
  "signalLevel": "critical",
  "signalType": "outage",
  "signalValue": 0.022222222222222223,
  "source": "ioda",
  "sourceRef": "ioda:alert:bgp:region:2815:1791492000",
  "sourceUrl": "https://ioda.inetintel.cc.gatech.edu/country/MZ",
  "unSubregion": null,
  "upstreamCause": null,
  "upstreamClaim": "IODA detected critical level outage for Sofala",
  "upstreamSeverity": "critical"
}

outage · critical

ioda:alert:bgp:region:2810:1791492000

IODA detected critical level outage for Manica

Upstream claim · IODA
Signal value
0.021277
Signal baseline
47
Evidence confidence
65%
Link confidence
80%

Why it is linked: Same country and date, critical level IODA alert

Retrieved
2026-10-09 00:00:09.222080 · timezone unspecified
Open IODA entity dashboard (day parameters)
Complete evidence record
{
  "asn": null,
  "blockingMethod": null,
  "citationScope": "signal_window",
  "citationUrl": "https://ioda.inetintel.cc.gatech.edu/country/MZ?from=1791417600&until=1791504000",
  "confidence": 0.65,
  "continent": null,
  "countryCode": "MZ",
  "domain": null,
  "domainCategory": null,
  "exactMeasurementLink": false,
  "id": 536060505,
  "kind": "alert",
  "linkConfidence": 0.8,
  "linkReason": "Same country and date, critical level IODA alert",
  "observedAt": "2026-10-08T20:40:00Z",
  "probeNodeId": null,
  "regionCode": "2810",
  "retrievedAt": "2026-10-09T00:00:09.222080",
  "riskTier": null,
  "signalBaseline": 47,
  "signalLevel": "critical",
  "signalType": "outage",
  "signalValue": 0.02127659574468085,
  "source": "ioda",
  "sourceRef": "ioda:alert:bgp:region:2810:1791492000",
  "sourceUrl": "https://ioda.inetintel.cc.gatech.edu/country/MZ",
  "unSubregion": null,
  "upstreamCause": null,
  "upstreamClaim": "IODA detected critical level outage for Manica",
  "upstreamSeverity": "critical"
}

outage · critical

ioda:alert:bgp:region:2809:1791492000

IODA detected critical level outage for Tete

Upstream claim · IODA
Signal value
0.202532
Signal baseline
79
Evidence confidence
65%
Link confidence
80%

Why it is linked: Same country and date, critical level IODA alert

Retrieved
2026-10-09 00:00:09.222080 · timezone unspecified
Open IODA entity dashboard (day parameters)
Complete evidence record
{
  "asn": null,
  "blockingMethod": null,
  "citationScope": "signal_window",
  "citationUrl": "https://ioda.inetintel.cc.gatech.edu/country/MZ?from=1791417600&until=1791504000",
  "confidence": 0.65,
  "continent": null,
  "countryCode": "MZ",
  "domain": null,
  "domainCategory": null,
  "exactMeasurementLink": false,
  "id": 536060506,
  "kind": "alert",
  "linkConfidence": 0.8,
  "linkReason": "Same country and date, critical level IODA alert",
  "observedAt": "2026-10-08T20:40:00Z",
  "probeNodeId": null,
  "regionCode": "2809",
  "retrievedAt": "2026-10-09T00:00:09.222080",
  "riskTier": null,
  "signalBaseline": 79,
  "signalLevel": "critical",
  "signalType": "outage",
  "signalValue": 0.20253164556962025,
  "source": "ioda",
  "sourceRef": "ioda:alert:bgp:region:2809:1791492000",
  "sourceUrl": "https://ioda.inetintel.cc.gatech.edu/country/MZ",
  "unSubregion": null,
  "upstreamCause": null,
  "upstreamClaim": "IODA detected critical level outage for Tete",
  "upstreamSeverity": "critical"
}

outage · critical

ioda:alert:bgp:region:2812:1791492000

IODA detected critical level outage for Niassa

Upstream claim · IODA
Signal value
0.130435
Signal baseline
23
Evidence confidence
65%
Link confidence
80%

Why it is linked: Same country and date, critical level IODA alert

Retrieved
2026-10-09 00:00:09.222080 · timezone unspecified
Open IODA entity dashboard (day parameters)
Complete evidence record
{
  "asn": null,
  "blockingMethod": null,
  "citationScope": "signal_window",
  "citationUrl": "https://ioda.inetintel.cc.gatech.edu/country/MZ?from=1791417600&until=1791504000",
  "confidence": 0.65,
  "continent": null,
  "countryCode": "MZ",
  "domain": null,
  "domainCategory": null,
  "exactMeasurementLink": false,
  "id": 536060507,
  "kind": "alert",
  "linkConfidence": 0.8,
  "linkReason": "Same country and date, critical level IODA alert",
  "observedAt": "2026-10-08T20:40:00Z",
  "probeNodeId": null,
  "regionCode": "2812",
  "retrievedAt": "2026-10-09T00:00:09.222080",
  "riskTier": null,
  "signalBaseline": 23,
  "signalLevel": "critical",
  "signalType": "outage",
  "signalValue": 0.13043478260869565,
  "source": "ioda",
  "sourceRef": "ioda:alert:bgp:region:2812:1791492000",
  "sourceUrl": "https://ioda.inetintel.cc.gatech.edu/country/MZ",
  "unSubregion": null,
  "upstreamCause": null,
  "upstreamClaim": "IODA detected critical level outage for Niassa",
  "upstreamSeverity": "critical"
}

outage · critical

ioda:alert:bgp:region:2813:1791492000

IODA detected critical level outage for Nampula

Upstream claim · IODA
Signal value
0.236052
Signal baseline
466
Evidence confidence
65%
Link confidence
80%

Why it is linked: Same country and date, critical level IODA alert

Retrieved
2026-10-09 00:00:09.222080 · timezone unspecified
Open IODA entity dashboard (day parameters)
Complete evidence record
{
  "asn": null,
  "blockingMethod": null,
  "citationScope": "signal_window",
  "citationUrl": "https://ioda.inetintel.cc.gatech.edu/country/MZ?from=1791417600&until=1791504000",
  "confidence": 0.65,
  "continent": null,
  "countryCode": "MZ",
  "domain": null,
  "domainCategory": null,
  "exactMeasurementLink": false,
  "id": 536060508,
  "kind": "alert",
  "linkConfidence": 0.8,
  "linkReason": "Same country and date, critical level IODA alert",
  "observedAt": "2026-10-08T20:40:00Z",
  "probeNodeId": null,
  "regionCode": "2813",
  "retrievedAt": "2026-10-09T00:00:09.222080",
  "riskTier": null,
  "signalBaseline": 466,
  "signalLevel": "critical",
  "signalType": "outage",
  "signalValue": 0.23605150214592274,
  "source": "ioda",
  "sourceRef": "ioda:alert:bgp:region:2813:1791492000",
  "sourceUrl": "https://ioda.inetintel.cc.gatech.edu/country/MZ",
  "unSubregion": null,
  "upstreamCause": null,
  "upstreamClaim": "IODA detected critical level outage for Nampula",
  "upstreamSeverity": "critical"
}
Source-reported corroboration

The source’s corroboration assessment is separate from incident confidence and evidence-link confidence. Inspect its source list, count and description.

{
  "description": "Single source label: ioda",
  "evidenceCount": 6,
  "level": "low",
  "score": 0.6,
  "sourceCount": 1,
  "sources": [
    "ioda"
  ]
}

Declared incident sources (historical metadata): IODA.

Qualifying linked evidence sources: IODA (6).

Fewer than two qualifying linked source labels are present. Stored incident labels may include quarantined OONI observations and do not establish corroboration.

Scope and attribution

What the record names.

Methodology

Affected services

No services named.

Incident mechanism

No mechanism specified at the incident level.

Individual evidence may carry more specific methods. Those do not automatically describe the entire incident.

Affected domains · 0

Domains named by the source record. Each link opens country-specific OONI measurements; a named domain is not a blanket national-block verdict.

No domains named.

Networks and evidence attribution

ASNs named by this source record: None listed.

This aggregate describes fields literally present in qualifying linked evidence. It does not identify who caused an event or prove intent.

{
  "asns_attributed": 0,
  "domains_attributed": 0,
  "methods": [
    {
      "evidence_count": 6,
      "method": "outage"
    }
  ],
  "note": "Aggregated from this incident's qualifying linked evidence rows — only domains, ASNs, and blocking methods the evidence literally records are shown, with the per-item evidence count. No per-domain/per-ASN attribution is present in the qualifying linked evidence for this incident (e.g. country/ASN-level outage signals).",
  "sources": [
    "ioda"
  ],
  "top_asns": [],
  "top_domains": []
}
What this record cannot establish

Measurements alone do not attribute an event to a government, ISP or another actor, and do not establish intent. An outage or anomalous result can have several explanations.

The country label is an aggregation scope. It is not a census of every network, city or service. Regional or ASN fields belong to their individual source evidence and should not be expanded into a national claim.

A confirmed duration is not supplied. The source observation window and evidence timestamps do not prove an exact start and stop of blocking.

Signal definitions, baseline rates and model versions depend on the source. This record does not establish a common baseline or calibrated certainty. Use the source’s specific signal definition and evaluation before interpreting a score.

Inspect measurement coverage

Cite this incident

Take the record
with you.

Use the permanent published URL.
The original source title is preserved.

BibTeX ↓RIS ↓Markdown ↓JSON ↓Full citation page →

The record over time.

Created
2026-10-09 00:00:21.596856 · timezone unspecified
Last updated
2026-10-09 00:00:21.596856 · timezone unspecified
Revision
1
Revision history and original fields

Revision-history array unavailable.

Canonical ID: MZ-2026-0041. Source ID: MZ-2026-0041. Hash ID: 4259ed52cb31.

Additional source duration field: unavailable. It is retained separately from the minutes field and does not establish a verified event duration.

Complete source JSON
{
  "affectedAsns": [],
  "affectedDomains": [],
  "affectedServices": [],
  "anomalyRate": 0.12065152555907215,
  "attribution": {
    "asns_attributed": 0,
    "domains_attributed": 0,
    "methods": [
      {
        "evidence_count": 6,
        "method": "outage"
      }
    ],
    "note": "Aggregated from this incident's qualifying linked evidence rows — only domains, ASNs, and blocking methods the evidence literally records are shown, with the per-item evidence count. No per-domain/per-ASN attribution is present in the qualifying linked evidence for this incident (e.g. country/ASN-level outage signals).",
    "sources": [
      "ioda"
    ],
    "top_asns": [],
    "top_domains": []
  },
  "confidence": 0.7,
  "corroboration": {
    "description": "Single source label: ioda",
    "evidenceCount": 6,
    "level": "low",
    "score": 0.6,
    "sourceCount": 1,
    "sources": [
      "ioda"
    ]
  },
  "country": "MZ",
  "countryName": "Mozambique",
  "createdAt": "2026-10-09T00:00:21.596856",
  "description": "IODA detected significant connectivity drop in Mozambique. 6 critical alerts recorded.",
  "duration": null,
  "durationHours": null,
  "endTime": null,
  "evidence": [
    {
      "asn": null,
      "blockingMethod": null,
      "citationScope": "signal_window",
      "citationUrl": "https://ioda.inetintel.cc.gatech.edu/country/MZ?from=1791417600&until=1791504000",
      "confidence": 0.65,
      "continent": null,
      "countryCode": "MZ",
      "domain": null,
      "domainCategory": null,
      "exactMeasurementLink": false,
      "id": 536060503,
      "kind": "alert",
      "linkConfidence": 0.8,
      "linkReason": "Same country and date, critical level IODA alert",
      "observedAt": "2026-10-08T20:40:00Z",
      "probeNodeId": null,
      "regionCode": "2819",
      "retrievedAt": "2026-10-09T00:00:09.222080",
      "riskTier": null,
      "signalBaseline": 1185,
      "signalLevel": "critical",
      "signalType": "outage",
      "signalValue": 0.11139240506329114,
      "source": "ioda",
      "sourceRef": "ioda:alert:bgp:region:2819:1791492000",
      "sourceUrl": "https://ioda.inetintel.cc.gatech.edu/country/MZ",
      "unSubregion": null,
      "upstreamCause": null,
      "upstreamClaim": "IODA detected critical level outage for Maputo City",
      "upstreamSeverity": "critical"
    },
    {
      "asn": null,
      "blockingMethod": null,
      "citationScope": "signal_window",
      "citationUrl": "https://ioda.inetintel.cc.gatech.edu/country/MZ?from=1791417600&until=1791504000",
      "confidence": 0.65,
      "continent": null,
      "countryCode": "MZ",
      "domain": null,
      "domainCategory": null,
      "exactMeasurementLink": false,
      "id": 536060504,
      "kind": "alert",
      "linkConfidence": 0.8,
      "linkReason": "Same country and date, critical level IODA alert",
      "observedAt": "2026-10-08T20:40:00Z",
      "probeNodeId": null,
      "regionCode": "2815",
      "retrievedAt": "2026-10-09T00:00:09.222080",
      "riskTier": null,
      "signalBaseline": 225,
      "signalLevel": "critical",
      "signalType": "outage",
      "signalValue": 0.022222222222222223,
      "source": "ioda",
      "sourceRef": "ioda:alert:bgp:region:2815:1791492000",
      "sourceUrl": "https://ioda.inetintel.cc.gatech.edu/country/MZ",
      "unSubregion": null,
      "upstreamCause": null,
      "upstreamClaim": "IODA detected critical level outage for Sofala",
      "upstreamSeverity": "critical"
    },
    {
      "asn": null,
      "blockingMethod": null,
      "citationScope": "signal_window",
      "citationUrl": "https://ioda.inetintel.cc.gatech.edu/country/MZ?from=1791417600&until=1791504000",
      "confidence": 0.65,
      "continent": null,
      "countryCode": "MZ",
      "domain": null,
      "domainCategory": null,
      "exactMeasurementLink": false,
      "id": 536060505,
      "kind": "alert",
      "linkConfidence": 0.8,
      "linkReason": "Same country and date, critical level IODA alert",
      "observedAt": "2026-10-08T20:40:00Z",
      "probeNodeId": null,
      "regionCode": "2810",
      "retrievedAt": "2026-10-09T00:00:09.222080",
      "riskTier": null,
      "signalBaseline": 47,
      "signalLevel": "critical",
      "signalType": "outage",
      "signalValue": 0.02127659574468085,
      "source": "ioda",
      "sourceRef": "ioda:alert:bgp:region:2810:1791492000",
      "sourceUrl": "https://ioda.inetintel.cc.gatech.edu/country/MZ",
      "unSubregion": null,
      "upstreamCause": null,
      "upstreamClaim": "IODA detected critical level outage for Manica",
      "upstreamSeverity": "critical"
    },
    {
      "asn": null,
      "blockingMethod": null,
      "citationScope": "signal_window",
      "citationUrl": "https://ioda.inetintel.cc.gatech.edu/country/MZ?from=1791417600&until=1791504000",
      "confidence": 0.65,
      "continent": null,
      "countryCode": "MZ",
      "domain": null,
      "domainCategory": null,
      "exactMeasurementLink": false,
      "id": 536060506,
      "kind": "alert",
      "linkConfidence": 0.8,
      "linkReason": "Same country and date, critical level IODA alert",
      "observedAt": "2026-10-08T20:40:00Z",
      "probeNodeId": null,
      "regionCode": "2809",
      "retrievedAt": "2026-10-09T00:00:09.222080",
      "riskTier": null,
      "signalBaseline": 79,
      "signalLevel": "critical",
      "signalType": "outage",
      "signalValue": 0.20253164556962025,
      "source": "ioda",
      "sourceRef": "ioda:alert:bgp:region:2809:1791492000",
      "sourceUrl": "https://ioda.inetintel.cc.gatech.edu/country/MZ",
      "unSubregion": null,
      "upstreamCause": null,
      "upstreamClaim": "IODA detected critical level outage for Tete",
      "upstreamSeverity": "critical"
    },
    {
      "asn": null,
      "blockingMethod": null,
      "citationScope": "signal_window",
      "citationUrl": "https://ioda.inetintel.cc.gatech.edu/country/MZ?from=1791417600&until=1791504000",
      "confidence": 0.65,
      "continent": null,
      "countryCode": "MZ",
      "domain": null,
      "domainCategory": null,
      "exactMeasurementLink": false,
      "id": 536060507,
      "kind": "alert",
      "linkConfidence": 0.8,
      "linkReason": "Same country and date, critical level IODA alert",
      "observedAt": "2026-10-08T20:40:00Z",
      "probeNodeId": null,
      "regionCode": "2812",
      "retrievedAt": "2026-10-09T00:00:09.222080",
      "riskTier": null,
      "signalBaseline": 23,
      "signalLevel": "critical",
      "signalType": "outage",
      "signalValue": 0.13043478260869565,
      "source": "ioda",
      "sourceRef": "ioda:alert:bgp:region:2812:1791492000",
      "sourceUrl": "https://ioda.inetintel.cc.gatech.edu/country/MZ",
      "unSubregion": null,
      "upstreamCause": null,
      "upstreamClaim": "IODA detected critical level outage for Niassa",
      "upstreamSeverity": "critical"
    },
    {
      "asn": null,
      "blockingMethod": null,
      "citationScope": "signal_window",
      "citationUrl": "https://ioda.inetintel.cc.gatech.edu/country/MZ?from=1791417600&until=1791504000",
      "confidence": 0.65,
      "continent": null,
      "countryCode": "MZ",
      "domain": null,
      "domainCategory": null,
      "exactMeasurementLink": false,
      "id": 536060508,
      "kind": "alert",
      "linkConfidence": 0.8,
      "linkReason": "Same country and date, critical level IODA alert",
      "observedAt": "2026-10-08T20:40:00Z",
      "probeNodeId": null,
      "regionCode": "2813",
      "retrievedAt": "2026-10-09T00:00:09.222080",
      "riskTier": null,
      "signalBaseline": 466,
      "signalLevel": "critical",
      "signalType": "outage",
      "signalValue": 0.23605150214592274,
      "source": "ioda",
      "sourceRef": "ioda:alert:bgp:region:2813:1791492000",
      "sourceUrl": "https://ioda.inetintel.cc.gatech.edu/country/MZ",
      "unSubregion": null,
      "upstreamCause": null,
      "upstreamClaim": "IODA detected critical level outage for Nampula",
      "upstreamSeverity": "critical"
    }
  ],
  "evidenceCount": 6,
  "evidenceSourceBreakdown": {
    "ioda": 6
  },
  "evidenceSpan": {
    "earliest": "2026-10-08T20:40:00Z",
    "latest": "2026-10-08T20:40:00Z"
  },
  "flag": "🇲🇿",
  "generated_at_utc": "2026-10-09T22:36:37.006480Z",
  "hashId": "4259ed52cb31",
  "id": "MZ-2026-0041",
  "incidentType": "disruption",
  "measurementCount": 6,
  "mechanism": null,
  "normalOoniObservationCount": 0,
  "normalOoniObservationNote": "These linked OONI rows carry the historical signal_level='normal' stored label and are quarantined from qualifying evidence pending regrade. The label is not proof that every row was accessible or anomaly-free: low-anomaly rows and rows with an omitted confirmed result may be present.",
  "normalOoniObservations": [],
  "readableId": "MZ-2026-0041",
  "reportUrl": "https://api.voidly.ai/data/incidents/4259ed52cb31/report?format=markdown",
  "revision": 1,
  "severity": "critical",
  "severityGrade": null,
  "sources": [
    "ioda"
  ],
  "startTime": "2026-10-08T20:40:00Z",
  "status": "active",
  "title": "Internet connectivity disruption in Mozambique",
  "updatedAt": "2026-10-09T00:00:21.596856"
}
All Mozambique incidents
Sep 27, 2026 · disruptionInternet connectivity disruption in MozambiqueSep 21, 2026 · disruptionInternet connectivity disruption in MozambiqueSep 20, 2026 · disruptionInternet connectivity disruption in MozambiqueSep 17, 2026 · disruptionInternet connectivity disruption in MozambiqueSep 16, 2026 · disruptionInternet connectivity disruption in MozambiqueAug 28, 2026 · disruptionInternet connectivity disruption in Mozambique

Related records come from up to 100 recent records in the same country. They do not establish a causal connection.

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