Active Incident
Confirmed: network disruption in Ethiopia
Ethiopia · January 8, 2026 · 51 days
IODA detected significant connectivity drop. 15 critical alerts recorded.
Evidence
7%
Anomaly Rate
40
Measurements
75%
Confidence
What This Means
7% of tests showed anomalies, above the typical 1-3% baseline. This suggests potential network interference.
How We Detected This
Data Sourceioda
ML ModelGradientBoosting v3.3 (LOCO median F1 0.87, honest across 127 countries)
Confidence Score75% certainty of censorship
Detection TimeJanuary 8, 2026
Corroborating Evidence (198)
Evidence collected from multiple independent sources. Upstream claims shown in quotes are not Voidly assertions.
IODAInternet Outage Detection & Analysis198 records
outage
"IODA detected critical level outage for Oromiya"— IODA report
Signal value: 0.03
Mar 1, 2026
View source →outage
"IODA detected critical level outage for Addis Ababa"— IODA report
Signal value: 0.05
Mar 1, 2026
View source →outage
"IODA detected critical level outage for Southern Nations, Nationalities and Peoples"— IODA report
Signal value: 0.09
Mar 1, 2026
View source →outage
"IODA detected critical level outage for Amhara"— IODA report
Signal value: 0.13
Mar 1, 2026
View source →outage
"IODA detected critical level outage for Southern Nations, Nationalities and Peoples"— IODA report
Signal value: 0.09
Feb 27, 2026
View source →+ 193 more IODA records
What we cannot say
- Who caused it — measurement data alone does not attribute this to any government, ISP, or other actor.
- Intent — anomalous or unreachable measurements indicate interference, not a stated motive or a deliberate-vs-incidental determination.
- Which networks — no specific ASN/ISP is identified for this incident.
- The mechanism — we cannot state whether this was DNS tampering, TLS/SNI reset, an HTTP blockpage, throttling, or an infrastructure outage.
- Sub-national scope — measurement is aggregated at the country level; we cannot localize to a province, city, or network segment.
- Independent corroboration — this rests on a single source; treat it as a single-source signal, not a multi-source confirmation.
Cite This Incident
Voidly Research. (2026). Confirmed: network disruption in Ethiopia [ET-2026-0003]. Voidly Global Censorship Index. https://voidly.ai/incident/ET-2026-0003