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Data

Incident record · Chile

Internet connectivity disruption in Chile

Type
disruption
Status
active
Severity
critical
Inspect evidence Cite this incident

Source summary

IODA detected significant connectivity drop in Chile. 12 critical alerts recorded.

Open incident JSON
Reported anomaly rate
64.1%

Source-defined signal; not a universal test-failure percentage.

Source measurement count
12

The record’s count can represent aggregate inputs or alerts.

Incident confidence
75%

A source score, not certainty of intentional censorship.

Linked evidence has its own count and confidence fields. These quantities are not interchangeable.

Follow the evidence

12 linked records.

Inspect the observation, the upstream claim and why it was linked.

Linked observation dates

12 dated · 0 without a verified timezone
IODA12 linked records
May 3, 2026 · 20:50 UTCSingle observed timestamp

Each point is a linked record. Horizontal position shows observation time; stacking separates nearby points. The full records below provide the values. This is not a measured outage-duration chart.

Upstream claims are attributed to their source. Multiple records or source names do not by themselves establish independent corroboration.

IODA12 records · open evidence

outage · critical

ioda:alert:ping-slash24:region:624:1777841400

IODA detected critical level outage for Libertador General Bernardo O'Higgins

Upstream claim · IODA
Signal value
0.705394
Signal baseline
241
Evidence confidence
80%
Link confidence
80%

Why it is linked: Same country and date, critical level IODA alert

Retrieved
2026-05-04 00:00:10.054515 · timezone unspecified
Open upstream source
Complete evidence record
{
  "asn": null,
  "blockingMethod": null,
  "confidence": 0.8,
  "continent": "Americas",
  "countryCode": "CL",
  "domain": null,
  "domainCategory": null,
  "id": 56053169,
  "kind": "alert",
  "linkConfidence": 0.8,
  "linkReason": "Same country and date, critical level IODA alert",
  "observedAt": "2026-05-03T20:50:00Z",
  "probeNodeId": null,
  "regionCode": "624",
  "retrievedAt": "2026-05-04T00:00:10.054515",
  "riskTier": 4,
  "signalBaseline": 241,
  "signalLevel": "critical",
  "signalType": "outage",
  "signalValue": 0.7053941908713693,
  "source": "ioda",
  "sourceRef": "ioda:alert:ping-slash24:region:624:1777841400",
  "sourceUrl": "https://ioda.inetintel.cc.gatech.edu/country/CL",
  "unSubregion": "South America",
  "upstreamCause": null,
  "upstreamClaim": "IODA detected critical level outage for Libertador General Bernardo O'Higgins",
  "upstreamSeverity": "critical"
}

outage · critical

ioda:alert:ping-slash24:region:626:1777841400

IODA detected critical level outage for Maule

Upstream claim · IODA
Signal value
0.582781
Signal baseline
151
Evidence confidence
77%
Link confidence
80%

Why it is linked: Same country and date, critical level IODA alert

Retrieved
2026-05-04 00:00:10.054515 · timezone unspecified
Open upstream source
Complete evidence record
{
  "asn": null,
  "blockingMethod": null,
  "confidence": 0.77,
  "continent": "Americas",
  "countryCode": "CL",
  "domain": null,
  "domainCategory": null,
  "id": 56053175,
  "kind": "alert",
  "linkConfidence": 0.8,
  "linkReason": "Same country and date, critical level IODA alert",
  "observedAt": "2026-05-03T20:50:00Z",
  "probeNodeId": null,
  "regionCode": "626",
  "retrievedAt": "2026-05-04T00:00:10.054515",
  "riskTier": 4,
  "signalBaseline": 151,
  "signalLevel": "critical",
  "signalType": "outage",
  "signalValue": 0.5827814569536424,
  "source": "ioda",
  "sourceRef": "ioda:alert:ping-slash24:region:626:1777841400",
  "sourceUrl": "https://ioda.inetintel.cc.gatech.edu/country/CL",
  "unSubregion": "South America",
  "upstreamCause": null,
  "upstreamClaim": "IODA detected critical level outage for Maule",
  "upstreamSeverity": "critical"
}

outage · critical

ioda:alert:ping-slash24:region:621:1777841400

IODA detected critical level outage for La Araucanía

Upstream claim · IODA
Signal value
0.57377
Signal baseline
122
Evidence confidence
77%
Link confidence
80%

Why it is linked: Same country and date, critical level IODA alert

Retrieved
2026-05-04 00:00:10.054515 · timezone unspecified
Open upstream source
Complete evidence record
{
  "asn": null,
  "blockingMethod": null,
  "confidence": 0.77,
  "continent": "Americas",
  "countryCode": "CL",
  "domain": null,
  "domainCategory": null,
  "id": 56053380,
  "kind": "alert",
  "linkConfidence": 0.8,
  "linkReason": "Same country and date, critical level IODA alert",
  "observedAt": "2026-05-03T20:50:00Z",
  "probeNodeId": null,
  "regionCode": "621",
  "retrievedAt": "2026-05-04T00:00:10.054515",
  "riskTier": 4,
  "signalBaseline": 122,
  "signalLevel": "critical",
  "signalType": "outage",
  "signalValue": 0.5737704918032787,
  "source": "ioda",
  "sourceRef": "ioda:alert:ping-slash24:region:621:1777841400",
  "sourceUrl": "https://ioda.inetintel.cc.gatech.edu/country/CL",
  "unSubregion": "South America",
  "upstreamCause": null,
  "upstreamClaim": "IODA detected critical level outage for La Araucanía",
  "upstreamSeverity": "critical"
}

outage · critical

ioda:alert:ping-slash24:region:616:1777841400

IODA detected critical level outage for Antofagasta

Upstream claim · IODA
Signal value
0.659483
Signal baseline
232
Evidence confidence
77%
Link confidence
80%

Why it is linked: Same country and date, critical level IODA alert

Retrieved
2026-05-04 00:00:10.054515 · timezone unspecified
Open upstream source
Complete evidence record
{
  "asn": null,
  "blockingMethod": null,
  "confidence": 0.77,
  "continent": "Americas",
  "countryCode": "CL",
  "domain": null,
  "domainCategory": null,
  "id": 56053410,
  "kind": "alert",
  "linkConfidence": 0.8,
  "linkReason": "Same country and date, critical level IODA alert",
  "observedAt": "2026-05-03T20:50:00Z",
  "probeNodeId": null,
  "regionCode": "616",
  "retrievedAt": "2026-05-04T00:00:10.054515",
  "riskTier": 4,
  "signalBaseline": 232,
  "signalLevel": "critical",
  "signalType": "outage",
  "signalValue": 0.6594827586206896,
  "source": "ioda",
  "sourceRef": "ioda:alert:ping-slash24:region:616:1777841400",
  "sourceUrl": "https://ioda.inetintel.cc.gatech.edu/country/CL",
  "unSubregion": "South America",
  "upstreamCause": null,
  "upstreamClaim": "IODA detected critical level outage for Antofagasta",
  "upstreamSeverity": "critical"
}

outage · critical

ioda:alert:ping-slash24:region:622:1777841400

IODA detected critical level outage for Los Ríos

Upstream claim · IODA
Signal value
0.73494
Signal baseline
83
Evidence confidence
80%
Link confidence
80%

Why it is linked: Same country and date, critical level IODA alert

Retrieved
2026-05-04 00:00:10.054515 · timezone unspecified
Open upstream source
Complete evidence record
{
  "asn": null,
  "blockingMethod": null,
  "confidence": 0.8,
  "continent": "Americas",
  "countryCode": "CL",
  "domain": null,
  "domainCategory": null,
  "id": 56053546,
  "kind": "alert",
  "linkConfidence": 0.8,
  "linkReason": "Same country and date, critical level IODA alert",
  "observedAt": "2026-05-03T20:50:00Z",
  "probeNodeId": null,
  "regionCode": "622",
  "retrievedAt": "2026-05-04T00:00:10.054515",
  "riskTier": 4,
  "signalBaseline": 83,
  "signalLevel": "critical",
  "signalType": "outage",
  "signalValue": 0.7349397590361446,
  "source": "ioda",
  "sourceRef": "ioda:alert:ping-slash24:region:622:1777841400",
  "sourceUrl": "https://ioda.inetintel.cc.gatech.edu/country/CL",
  "unSubregion": "South America",
  "upstreamCause": null,
  "upstreamClaim": "IODA detected critical level outage for Los Ríos",
  "upstreamSeverity": "critical"
}

outage · critical

ioda:alert:ping-slash24:region:625:1777841400

IODA detected critical level outage for Los Lagos

Upstream claim · IODA
Signal value
0.723214
Signal baseline
112
Evidence confidence
80%
Link confidence
80%

Why it is linked: Same country and date, critical level IODA alert

Retrieved
2026-05-04 00:00:10.054515 · timezone unspecified
Open upstream source
Complete evidence record
{
  "asn": null,
  "blockingMethod": null,
  "confidence": 0.8,
  "continent": "Americas",
  "countryCode": "CL",
  "domain": null,
  "domainCategory": null,
  "id": 56053705,
  "kind": "alert",
  "linkConfidence": 0.8,
  "linkReason": "Same country and date, critical level IODA alert",
  "observedAt": "2026-05-03T20:50:00Z",
  "probeNodeId": null,
  "regionCode": "625",
  "retrievedAt": "2026-05-04T00:00:10.054515",
  "riskTier": 4,
  "signalBaseline": 112,
  "signalLevel": "critical",
  "signalType": "outage",
  "signalValue": 0.7232142857142857,
  "source": "ioda",
  "sourceRef": "ioda:alert:ping-slash24:region:625:1777841400",
  "sourceUrl": "https://ioda.inetintel.cc.gatech.edu/country/CL",
  "unSubregion": "South America",
  "upstreamCause": null,
  "upstreamClaim": "IODA detected critical level outage for Los Lagos",
  "upstreamSeverity": "critical"
}

outage · critical

ioda:alert:ping-slash24:region:614:1777841400

IODA detected critical level outage for Tarapacá

Upstream claim · IODA
Signal value
0.592105
Signal baseline
76
Evidence confidence
77%
Link confidence
80%

Why it is linked: Same country and date, critical level IODA alert

Retrieved
2026-05-04 00:00:10.054515 · timezone unspecified
Open upstream source
Complete evidence record
{
  "asn": null,
  "blockingMethod": null,
  "confidence": 0.77,
  "continent": "Americas",
  "countryCode": "CL",
  "domain": null,
  "domainCategory": null,
  "id": 56053726,
  "kind": "alert",
  "linkConfidence": 0.8,
  "linkReason": "Same country and date, critical level IODA alert",
  "observedAt": "2026-05-03T20:50:00Z",
  "probeNodeId": null,
  "regionCode": "614",
  "retrievedAt": "2026-05-04T00:00:10.054515",
  "riskTier": 4,
  "signalBaseline": 76,
  "signalLevel": "critical",
  "signalType": "outage",
  "signalValue": 0.5921052631578947,
  "source": "ioda",
  "sourceRef": "ioda:alert:ping-slash24:region:614:1777841400",
  "sourceUrl": "https://ioda.inetintel.cc.gatech.edu/country/CL",
  "unSubregion": "South America",
  "upstreamCause": null,
  "upstreamClaim": "IODA detected critical level outage for Tarapacá",
  "upstreamSeverity": "critical"
}

outage · critical

ioda:alert:ping-slash24:region:617:1777841400

IODA detected critical level outage for Atacama

Upstream claim · IODA
Signal value
0.740741
Signal baseline
54
Evidence confidence
80%
Link confidence
80%

Why it is linked: Same country and date, critical level IODA alert

Retrieved
2026-05-04 00:00:10.054515 · timezone unspecified
Open upstream source
Complete evidence record
{
  "asn": null,
  "blockingMethod": null,
  "confidence": 0.8,
  "continent": "Americas",
  "countryCode": "CL",
  "domain": null,
  "domainCategory": null,
  "id": 56053840,
  "kind": "alert",
  "linkConfidence": 0.8,
  "linkReason": "Same country and date, critical level IODA alert",
  "observedAt": "2026-05-03T20:50:00Z",
  "probeNodeId": null,
  "regionCode": "617",
  "retrievedAt": "2026-05-04T00:00:10.054515",
  "riskTier": 4,
  "signalBaseline": 54,
  "signalLevel": "critical",
  "signalType": "outage",
  "signalValue": 0.7407407407407407,
  "source": "ioda",
  "sourceRef": "ioda:alert:ping-slash24:region:617:1777841400",
  "sourceUrl": "https://ioda.inetintel.cc.gatech.edu/country/CL",
  "unSubregion": "South America",
  "upstreamCause": null,
  "upstreamClaim": "IODA detected critical level outage for Atacama",
  "upstreamSeverity": "critical"
}

outage · critical

ioda:alert:ping-slash24:region:4896:1777841400

IODA detected critical level outage for Ñuble

Upstream claim · IODA
Signal value
0.65
Signal baseline
100
Evidence confidence
77%
Link confidence
80%

Why it is linked: Same country and date, critical level IODA alert

Retrieved
2026-05-04 00:00:10.054515 · timezone unspecified
Open upstream source
Complete evidence record
{
  "asn": null,
  "blockingMethod": null,
  "confidence": 0.77,
  "continent": "Americas",
  "countryCode": "CL",
  "domain": null,
  "domainCategory": null,
  "id": 56053968,
  "kind": "alert",
  "linkConfidence": 0.8,
  "linkReason": "Same country and date, critical level IODA alert",
  "observedAt": "2026-05-03T20:50:00Z",
  "probeNodeId": null,
  "regionCode": "4896",
  "retrievedAt": "2026-05-04T00:00:10.054515",
  "riskTier": 4,
  "signalBaseline": 100,
  "signalLevel": "critical",
  "signalType": "outage",
  "signalValue": 0.65,
  "source": "ioda",
  "sourceRef": "ioda:alert:ping-slash24:region:4896:1777841400",
  "sourceUrl": "https://ioda.inetintel.cc.gatech.edu/country/CL",
  "unSubregion": "South America",
  "upstreamCause": null,
  "upstreamClaim": "IODA detected critical level outage for Ñuble",
  "upstreamSeverity": "critical"
}

outage · critical

ioda:alert:ping-slash24:region:615:1777841400

IODA detected critical level outage for Arica y Parinacota

Upstream claim · IODA
Signal value
0.5
Signal baseline
32
Evidence confidence
77%
Link confidence
80%

Why it is linked: Same country and date, critical level IODA alert

Retrieved
2026-05-04 00:00:10.054515 · timezone unspecified
Open upstream source
Complete evidence record
{
  "asn": null,
  "blockingMethod": null,
  "confidence": 0.77,
  "continent": "Americas",
  "countryCode": "CL",
  "domain": null,
  "domainCategory": null,
  "id": 56054228,
  "kind": "alert",
  "linkConfidence": 0.8,
  "linkReason": "Same country and date, critical level IODA alert",
  "observedAt": "2026-05-03T20:50:00Z",
  "probeNodeId": null,
  "regionCode": "615",
  "retrievedAt": "2026-05-04T00:00:10.054515",
  "riskTier": 4,
  "signalBaseline": 32,
  "signalLevel": "critical",
  "signalType": "outage",
  "signalValue": 0.5,
  "source": "ioda",
  "sourceRef": "ioda:alert:ping-slash24:region:615:1777841400",
  "sourceUrl": "https://ioda.inetintel.cc.gatech.edu/country/CL",
  "unSubregion": "South America",
  "upstreamCause": null,
  "upstreamClaim": "IODA detected critical level outage for Arica y Parinacota",
  "upstreamSeverity": "critical"
}

outage · critical

ioda:alert:ping-slash24:region:618:1777841400

IODA detected critical level outage for Coquimbo

Upstream claim · IODA
Signal value
0.625641
Signal baseline
195
Evidence confidence
77%
Link confidence
80%

Why it is linked: Same country and date, critical level IODA alert

Retrieved
2026-05-04 00:00:10.054515 · timezone unspecified
Open upstream source
Complete evidence record
{
  "asn": null,
  "blockingMethod": null,
  "confidence": 0.77,
  "continent": "Americas",
  "countryCode": "CL",
  "domain": null,
  "domainCategory": null,
  "id": 56054375,
  "kind": "alert",
  "linkConfidence": 0.8,
  "linkReason": "Same country and date, critical level IODA alert",
  "observedAt": "2026-05-03T20:50:00Z",
  "probeNodeId": null,
  "regionCode": "618",
  "retrievedAt": "2026-05-04T00:00:10.054515",
  "riskTier": 4,
  "signalBaseline": 195,
  "signalLevel": "critical",
  "signalType": "outage",
  "signalValue": 0.6256410256410256,
  "source": "ioda",
  "sourceRef": "ioda:alert:ping-slash24:region:618:1777841400",
  "sourceUrl": "https://ioda.inetintel.cc.gatech.edu/country/CL",
  "unSubregion": "South America",
  "upstreamCause": null,
  "upstreamClaim": "IODA detected critical level outage for Coquimbo",
  "upstreamSeverity": "critical"
}

outage · critical

ioda:alert:ping-slash24:region:620:1777841400

IODA detected critical level outage for Valparaíso

Upstream claim · IODA
Signal value
0.598693
Signal baseline
765
Evidence confidence
77%
Link confidence
80%

Why it is linked: Same country and date, critical level IODA alert

Retrieved
2026-05-04 00:00:10.054515 · timezone unspecified
Open upstream source
Complete evidence record
{
  "asn": null,
  "blockingMethod": null,
  "confidence": 0.77,
  "continent": "Americas",
  "countryCode": "CL",
  "domain": null,
  "domainCategory": null,
  "id": 56054474,
  "kind": "alert",
  "linkConfidence": 0.8,
  "linkReason": "Same country and date, critical level IODA alert",
  "observedAt": "2026-05-03T20:50:00Z",
  "probeNodeId": null,
  "regionCode": "620",
  "retrievedAt": "2026-05-04T00:00:10.054515",
  "riskTier": 4,
  "signalBaseline": 765,
  "signalLevel": "critical",
  "signalType": "outage",
  "signalValue": 0.5986928104575163,
  "source": "ioda",
  "sourceRef": "ioda:alert:ping-slash24:region:620:1777841400",
  "sourceUrl": "https://ioda.inetintel.cc.gatech.edu/country/CL",
  "unSubregion": "South America",
  "upstreamCause": null,
  "upstreamClaim": "IODA detected critical level outage for Valparaíso",
  "upstreamSeverity": "critical"
}
Source-reported corroboration

The source’s corroboration assessment is separate from incident confidence and evidence-link confidence. Inspect its source list, count and description.

{
  "description": "Single source: ioda",
  "evidenceCount": 12,
  "level": "low",
  "score": 0.65,
  "sourceCount": 1,
  "sources": [
    "ioda"
  ]
}

Declared incident sources: IODA.

This record does not list two distinct sources. Treat it as a single-source or uncorroborated record.

Scope and attribution

What the record names.

Methodology

Affected services

No services named.

Incident mechanism

Infrastructure outage

Individual evidence may carry more specific methods. Those do not automatically describe the entire incident.

Affected domains · 0

Domains named by the source record. Each link opens country-specific OONI measurements; a named domain is not a blanket national-block verdict.

No domains named.

Networks and evidence attribution

ASNs named by this source record: None listed.

This aggregate describes fields literally present in linked evidence. It does not identify who caused an event or prove intent.

{
  "asns_attributed": 0,
  "domains_attributed": 0,
  "methods": [
    {
      "evidence_count": 12,
      "method": "outage"
    }
  ],
  "note": "Aggregated from this incident's linked evidence rows — only domains, ASNs, and blocking methods the evidence literally records are shown, with the per-item evidence count. No per-domain/per-ASN attribution is present in the linked evidence for this incident (e.g. country/ASN-level outage signals).",
  "sources": [
    "ioda"
  ],
  "top_asns": [],
  "top_domains": []
}
What this record cannot establish

Measurements alone do not attribute an event to a government, ISP or another actor, and do not establish intent. An outage or anomalous result can have several explanations.

The country label is an aggregation scope. It is not a census of every network, city or service. Regional or ASN fields belong to their individual source evidence and should not be expanded into a national claim.

A confirmed duration is not supplied. The source observation window and evidence timestamps do not prove an exact start and stop of blocking.

Signal definitions, baseline rates and model versions depend on the source. This record does not establish a common baseline or calibrated certainty. Use the source’s specific signal definition and evaluation before interpreting a score.

Inspect measurement coverage

Cite this incident

Take the record
with you.

Use the permanent published URL.
The original source title is preserved.

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The record over time.

Created
2026-05-04 00:00:11.485768 · timezone unspecified
Last updated
2026-05-04 00:00:11.485768 · timezone unspecified
Revision
1
Revision history and original fields

Revision-history array unavailable.

Canonical ID: CL-2026-0010. Source ID: CL-2026-0010. Hash ID: 65f014c3e9b0.

Additional source duration field: 0 hours. It is retained separately from the minutes field and does not establish a verified event duration.

Complete source JSON
{
  "affectedAsns": [],
  "affectedDomains": [],
  "affectedServices": [],
  "anomalyRate": 0.6405635652497156,
  "attribution": {
    "asns_attributed": 0,
    "domains_attributed": 0,
    "methods": [
      {
        "evidence_count": 12,
        "method": "outage"
      }
    ],
    "note": "Aggregated from this incident's linked evidence rows — only domains, ASNs, and blocking methods the evidence literally records are shown, with the per-item evidence count. No per-domain/per-ASN attribution is present in the linked evidence for this incident (e.g. country/ASN-level outage signals).",
    "sources": [
      "ioda"
    ],
    "top_asns": [],
    "top_domains": []
  },
  "confidence": 0.75,
  "corroboration": {
    "description": "Single source: ioda",
    "evidenceCount": 12,
    "level": "low",
    "score": 0.65,
    "sourceCount": 1,
    "sources": [
      "ioda"
    ]
  },
  "country": "CL",
  "countryName": "Chile",
  "createdAt": "2026-05-04T00:00:11.485768",
  "description": "IODA detected significant connectivity drop in Chile. 12 critical alerts recorded.",
  "duration": null,
  "durationHours": 0,
  "endTime": null,
  "evidence": [
    {
      "asn": null,
      "blockingMethod": null,
      "confidence": 0.8,
      "continent": "Americas",
      "countryCode": "CL",
      "domain": null,
      "domainCategory": null,
      "id": 56053169,
      "kind": "alert",
      "linkConfidence": 0.8,
      "linkReason": "Same country and date, critical level IODA alert",
      "observedAt": "2026-05-03T20:50:00Z",
      "probeNodeId": null,
      "regionCode": "624",
      "retrievedAt": "2026-05-04T00:00:10.054515",
      "riskTier": 4,
      "signalBaseline": 241,
      "signalLevel": "critical",
      "signalType": "outage",
      "signalValue": 0.7053941908713693,
      "source": "ioda",
      "sourceRef": "ioda:alert:ping-slash24:region:624:1777841400",
      "sourceUrl": "https://ioda.inetintel.cc.gatech.edu/country/CL",
      "unSubregion": "South America",
      "upstreamCause": null,
      "upstreamClaim": "IODA detected critical level outage for Libertador General Bernardo O'Higgins",
      "upstreamSeverity": "critical"
    },
    {
      "asn": null,
      "blockingMethod": null,
      "confidence": 0.77,
      "continent": "Americas",
      "countryCode": "CL",
      "domain": null,
      "domainCategory": null,
      "id": 56053175,
      "kind": "alert",
      "linkConfidence": 0.8,
      "linkReason": "Same country and date, critical level IODA alert",
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      "upstreamClaim": "IODA detected critical level outage for Tarapacá",
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      "observedAt": "2026-05-03T20:50:00Z",
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      "upstreamClaim": "IODA detected critical level outage for Atacama",
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      "upstreamClaim": "IODA detected critical level outage for Ñuble",
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      "upstreamCause": null,
      "upstreamClaim": "IODA detected critical level outage for Valparaíso",
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  "evidenceCount": 12,
  "evidenceSourceBreakdown": {
    "ioda": 12
  },
  "evidenceSpan": {
    "earliest": "2026-05-03T20:50:00Z",
    "latest": "2026-05-03T20:50:00Z"
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  "flag": "🇨🇱",
  "generated_at_utc": "2026-09-10T19:33:35.210778Z",
  "hashId": "65f014c3e9b0",
  "id": "CL-2026-0010",
  "incidentType": "disruption",
  "measurementCount": 12,
  "mechanism": "Infrastructure outage",
  "readableId": "CL-2026-0010",
  "reportUrl": "https://api.voidly.ai/data/incidents/65f014c3e9b0/report?format=markdown",
  "revision": 1,
  "severity": "critical",
  "severityGrade": "B",
  "sources": [
    "ioda"
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  "startTime": "2026-05-03T20:50:00Z",
  "status": "active",
  "title": "Internet connectivity disruption in Chile",
  "updatedAt": "2026-05-04T00:00:11.485768"
}
All Chile incidents
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Related records come from up to 100 recent records in the same country. They do not establish a causal connection.

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