Active Incident
Confirmed: january protests shutdown
Kazakhstan · January 4, 2022 · 9 days
OONI detected censorship pattern in Kazakhstan. January protests shutdown. Anomaly rate: 46.2%
Evidence
53%
Anomaly Rate
308
Measurements
90%
Confidence
What This Means
53% of 308 network tests from Kazakhstan failed to reach these services. Global baseline failure rate is typically 1-3%. This 50+ percentage point difference strongly indicates intentional blocking.
How We Detected This
Data Sourceooni
ML ModelGradientBoosting v3.3 (LOCO median F1 0.87, honest across 127 countries)
Confidence Score90% certainty of censorship
Detection TimeJanuary 4, 2022
Corroborating Evidence (4)
Evidence collected from multiple independent sources. Upstream claims shown in quotes are not Voidly assertions.
OONIOpen Observatory of Network Interference4 records
block
"January protests shutdown"— OONI report
Signal value: 0.45
Jan 13, 2022
View source →block
"January protests shutdown"— OONI report
Signal value: 0.39
Jan 11, 2022
View source →interference
"Web connectivity anomalies detected. 100 measurements with 50.0% anomaly rate."— OONI report
Signal value: 0.50
Jan 5, 2022
View source →block
"January protests shutdown"— OONI report
Signal value: 0.46
Jan 4, 2022
View source →What we cannot say
- Who caused it — measurement data alone does not attribute this to any government, ISP, or other actor.
- Intent — anomalous or unreachable measurements indicate interference, not a stated motive or a deliberate-vs-incidental determination.
- Which networks — no specific ASN/ISP is identified for this incident.
- The mechanism — we cannot state whether this was DNS tampering, TLS/SNI reset, an HTTP blockpage, throttling, or an infrastructure outage.
- Sub-national scope — measurement is aggregated at the country level; we cannot localize to a province, city, or network segment.
- Independent corroboration — this rests on a single source; treat it as a single-source signal, not a multi-source confirmation.
Cite This Incident
Voidly Research. (2022). Confirmed: january protests shutdown [KZ-2022-0001]. Voidly Global Censorship Index. https://voidly.ai/incident/KZ-2022-0001
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