voidly
Active Incident

Confirmed: network disruption in Nigeria

Nigeria · January 7, 2026 · 54 days

IODA detected significant connectivity drop. 2 critical alerts recorded. CenAlert confirms censorship activity.

Evidence

84%
Anomaly Rate
41
Measurements
70%
Confidence

What This Means

84% of 41 network tests from Nigeria failed to reach these services. Global baseline failure rate is typically 1-3%. This 81+ percentage point difference strongly indicates intentional blocking.

How We Detected This

Data Sourcecensoredplanet + ioda
ML ModelGradientBoosting v3.3 (LOCO median F1 0.87, honest across 127 countries)
Confidence Score70% certainty of censorship
Detection TimeJanuary 7, 2026

Corroborating Evidence (235)

Evidence collected from multiple independent sources. Upstream claims shown in quotes are not Voidly assertions.

IODAInternet Outage Detection & Analysis233 records
outage
"IODA detected critical level outage for Sokoto"IODA report
Signal value: 0.72
Mar 3, 2026
View source →
outage
"IODA detected critical level outage for Kano"IODA report
Signal value: 0.03
Mar 2, 2026
View source →
outage
"IODA detected critical level outage for Borno"IODA report
Signal value: 0.09
Mar 2, 2026
View source →
outage
"IODA detected critical level outage for Osun"IODA report
Signal value: 0.02
Mar 2, 2026
View source →
outage
"IODA detected critical level outage for Sokoto"IODA report
Signal value: 0.72
Mar 2, 2026
View source →
+ 228 more IODA records
Censored PlanetUniversity of Michigan research2 records
dns-blocking
"DNS blocking detected: 2/2 probes anomalous (100.0%) for twitter.com"Censored Planet report
Signal value: 1.00
Feb 25, 2026
View source →
dns-blocking
"DNS blocking detected: 2/2 probes anomalous (100.0%) for tiktok.com"Censored Planet report
Signal value: 1.00
Feb 22, 2026
View source →

Affected Services (3)

TikTokTwitter/XX

Blocked Domains (2)

Click any domain to view raw OONI measurements

What we cannot say

  • Who caused it — measurement data alone does not attribute this to any government, ISP, or other actor.
  • Intent — anomalous or unreachable measurements indicate interference, not a stated motive or a deliberate-vs-incidental determination.
  • Which networks — no specific ASN/ISP is identified for this incident.
  • The mechanism — we cannot state whether this was DNS tampering, TLS/SNI reset, an HTTP blockpage, throttling, or an infrastructure outage.
  • Sub-national scope — measurement is aggregated at the country level; we cannot localize to a province, city, or network segment.

Cite This Incident

Voidly Research. (2026). Confirmed: network disruption in Nigeria [NG-2026-0002]. Voidly Global Censorship Index. https://voidly.ai/incident/NG-2026-0002

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