Voidly
Research
Atlas · AI-ready briefings

Country briefings

Today's briefings

One quotable paragraph per country, stitched from the calibrated forecast, recent incidents, top model drivers, and 7-day trend. Updated every 30 minutes. Each card has a link to the raw JSON for AI-agent consumption.

Source endpoint: /v1/atlas/explain/{country} · CC BY 4.0

HIGH · 95%

Pakistan censorship outlook

Risk band: HIGH — 95% max forecast over the next 7 days.

90% conformal interval: [60%, 100%].

Top model drivers: week_of_year (↓ 0.061), blocked_count_roll14_mean (↓ 0.023), month (↓ 0.021).

No new incidents in the last 24 hours; 7 over the past 7 days.

Most recent: PK-2026-1787 — Censorship detected in PK (severity critical, observed 2026-10-02T00:00:00Z).

See /atlas/forecast/pk for the full calibrated forecast, /sentinel/backtest/pk for the prediction history, and /pk for the country profile.

HIGH · 64%

Uzbekistan censorship outlook

Risk band: HIGH — 64% max forecast over the next 7 days.

90% conformal interval: [29%, 98%].

Top model drivers: week_of_year (↓ 0.063), gdelt_unrest_30d (↓ 0.031), block_rate_roll7_mean (↓ 0.024).

No new incidents in the last 24 hours; 4 over the past 7 days.

Most recent: UZ-2026-0358 — Internet censorship detected in Uzbekistan (severity warning, observed 2026-10-01T00:00:00Z).

See /atlas/forecast/uz for the full calibrated forecast, /sentinel/backtest/uz for the prediction history, and /uz for the country profile.

LOW · 5%

Nigeria censorship outlook

Risk band: LOW — 5% max forecast over the next 7 days.

90% conformal interval: [0%, 40%].

Top model drivers: block_rate_roll7_mean (↓ 0.073), week_of_year (↓ 0.032), block_rate_roll7_std (↓ 0.023).

1 incident detected in the last 24 hours (10 in the last 7 days).

Most recent: NG-2026-0203 — Internet connectivity disruption in Nigeria (severity critical, observed 2026-10-03T06:00:00Z).

See /atlas/forecast/ng for the full calibrated forecast, /sentinel/backtest/ng for the prediction history, and /ng for the country profile.

LOW · 5%

Ethiopia censorship outlook

Risk band: LOW — 5% max forecast over the next 7 days.

90% conformal interval: [0%, 40%].

Top model drivers: week_of_year (↓ 0.072), month (↓ 0.032), blocked_count_roll7_mean (↓ 0.020).

No new incidents in the last 24 hours; 9 over the past 7 days.

Most recent: ET-2026-0770 — Internet connectivity disruption in Ethiopia (severity critical, observed 2026-10-02T08:15:00Z).

Upcoming event drivers: Tigray War Anniversary 2026 in 26d; Tigray War Anniversary 2026 in 27d; Tigray War Anniversary 2026 in 25d; Tigray War Anniversary 2026 in 29d; Tigray War Anniversary 2026 in 28d.

See /atlas/forecast/et for the full calibrated forecast, /sentinel/backtest/et for the prediction history, and /et for the country profile.

LOW · 4%

Syria censorship outlook

Risk band: LOW — 4% max forecast over the next 7 days.

90% conformal interval: [0%, 39%].

Top model drivers: week_of_year (↓ 0.050), month (↓ 0.023), block_rate_roll7_mean (↓ 0.021).

No new incidents in the last 24 hours; 6 over the past 7 days.

Most recent: SY-2026-0887 — Internet connectivity disruption in Syria (severity critical, observed 2026-10-01T11:40:00Z).

See /atlas/forecast/sy for the full calibrated forecast, /sentinel/backtest/sy for the prediction history, and /sy for the country profile.

WATCH · 26%

Turkey censorship outlook

Risk band: WATCH — 26% max forecast over the next 7 days.

90% conformal interval: [0%, 61%].

Top model drivers: week_of_year (↓ 0.106), month (↓ 0.036), blocked_count_roll14_mean (↓ 0.022).

No new incidents in the last 24 hours; 3 over the past 7 days.

Most recent: TR-2026-0342 — Internet censorship detected in Turkey (severity critical, observed 2026-09-30T00:00:00Z).

See /atlas/forecast/tr for the full calibrated forecast, /sentinel/backtest/tr for the prediction history, and /tr for the country profile.

For AI agents

For AI agents

Each country's narrative is available at /v1/atlas/explain/{country} as JSON. Response shape:

{
  "schema": "voidly-atlas-explain/v1",
  "country": "IR",
  "country_name": "Iran",
  "headline_one_line": "Iran is currently in the HIGH band with a 7-day peak forecast of 89%",
  "markdown": "## Iran censorship outlook\n\n**Risk band: HIGH** — 89% max...",
  "structured": {
    "max_risk": 0.886,
    "max_risk_day": 7,
    "interval_90": [0.84, 0.93],
    "top_features": [...],
    "recent_incidents_24h": 0,
    "recent_incidents_7d": 5,
    "last_incident": {...},
    "trend_7d_delta": 0.799
  },
  "sources": { "endpoints_called": ["predict_risk", "incidents_table", "sentinel_forecasts"] }
}

Cache TTL: 15 min on the worker edge, 30 min ISR on this page. For a single-call dashboard digest aggregating all signals at once, use /v1/atlas/digest.

Related