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Atlas · AI-ready briefings

Today's briefings

One quotable paragraph per country, stitched from the calibrated forecast, recent incidents, top model drivers, and 7-day trend. Updated every 30 minutes. Each card has a link to the raw JSON for AI-agent consumption.

Source endpoint: /v1/atlas/explain/{country} · CC BY 4.0

AU AU

LOW · 5%

AU censorship outlook

Risk band: LOW — 5% max forecast over the next 7 days.

90% conformal interval: [0%, 40%].

Top model drivers: gdelt_unrest_30d (↓ 0.011), week_of_year (↓ 0.011), recent_shutdown (↓ 0.011).

Risk trending down: forecast moved -7 percentage points over the last week.

No incidents detected in the last 7 days.

Most recent: AU-2026-0006 — severity critical, observed 2026-05-03T20:50:00Z.

See /atlas/forecast/au for the full calibrated forecast, /sentinel/backtest/au for the prediction history, and /au for the country profile.

DE DE

LOW · 5%

DE censorship outlook

Risk band: LOW — 5% max forecast over the next 7 days.

90% conformal interval: [0%, 40%].

Top model drivers: gdelt_unrest_30d (↓ 0.011), week_of_year (↓ 0.011), recent_shutdown (↓ 0.011).

No incidents detected in the last 7 days.

Most recent: DE-2026-0006 — severity critical, observed 2026-05-03T20:50:00Z.

See /atlas/forecast/de for the full calibrated forecast, /sentinel/backtest/de for the prediction history, and /de for the country profile.

ZA ZA

LOW · 4%

ZA censorship outlook

Risk band: LOW — 4% max forecast over the next 7 days.

90% conformal interval: [0%, 39%].

Top model drivers: recent_shutdown (↑ 0.044), block_rate_roll14_mean (↑ 0.021), block_rate_roll30_mean (↑ 0.021).

No incidents detected in the last 7 days.

Most recent: ZA-2026-0017 — severity critical, observed 2026-05-12T20:20:00Z.

See /atlas/forecast/za for the full calibrated forecast, /sentinel/backtest/za for the prediction history, and /za for the country profile.

NL NL

LOW · 5%

NL censorship outlook

Risk band: LOW — 5% max forecast over the next 7 days.

90% conformal interval: [0%, 40%].

Top model drivers: week_of_year (↓ 0.018), gdelt_unrest_30d (↓ 0.013), recent_shutdown (↑ 0.011).

No incidents detected in the last 7 days.

Most recent: NL-2026-0022 — severity critical, observed 2026-05-18T00:10:00Z.

See /atlas/forecast/nl for the full calibrated forecast, /sentinel/backtest/nl for the prediction history, and /nl for the country profile.

LOW · 4%

Mexico censorship outlook

Risk band: LOW — 4% max forecast over the next 7 days.

90% conformal interval: [0%, 39%].

Top model drivers: recent_shutdown (↑ 0.022), block_rate_roll7_mean (↑ 0.019), block_rate_roll7_std (↑ 0.018).

Risk trending UP: forecast moved +19 percentage points over the last week.

No incidents detected in the last 7 days.

Most recent: MX-2026-0060 — severity critical, observed 2026-05-29T17:50:00Z.

See /atlas/forecast/mx for the full calibrated forecast, /sentinel/backtest/mx for the prediction history, and /mx for the country profile.

JP JP

LOW · 5%

JP censorship outlook

Risk band: LOW — 5% max forecast over the next 7 days.

90% conformal interval: [0%, 40%].

Top model drivers: week_of_year (↓ 0.022), risk_tier (↓ 0.012), gdelt_unrest_30d (↓ 0.010).

No incidents detected in the last 7 days.

Most recent: JP-2026-0009 — severity critical, observed 2026-05-03T20:50:00Z.

See /atlas/forecast/jp for the full calibrated forecast, /sentinel/backtest/jp for the prediction history, and /jp for the country profile.

For AI agents

Each country's narrative is available at /v1/atlas/explain/{country} as JSON. Response shape:

{
  "schema": "voidly-atlas-explain/v1",
  "country": "IR",
  "country_name": "Iran",
  "headline_one_line": "Iran is currently in the HIGH band with a 7-day peak forecast of 89%",
  "markdown": "## Iran censorship outlook\n\n**Risk band: HIGH** — 89% max...",
  "structured": {
    "max_risk": 0.886,
    "max_risk_day": 7,
    "interval_90": [0.84, 0.93],
    "top_features": [...],
    "recent_incidents_24h": 0,
    "recent_incidents_7d": 5,
    "last_incident": {...},
    "trend_7d_delta": 0.799
  },
  "sources": { "endpoints_called": ["predict_risk", "incidents_table", "sentinel_forecasts"] }
}

Cache TTL: 15 min on the worker edge, 30 min ISR on this page. For a single-call dashboard digest aggregating all signals at once, use /v1/atlas/digest.

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