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Atlas · AI-ready briefings

Country briefings

Today's briefings

One quotable paragraph per country, stitched from the calibrated forecast, recent incidents, top model drivers, and 7-day trend. Updated every 30 minutes. Each card has a link to the raw JSON for AI-agent consumption.

Source endpoint: /v1/atlas/explain/{country} · CC BY 4.0

HIGH · 55%

Egypt censorship outlook

Risk band: HIGH — 55% max forecast over the next 7 days.

90% conformal interval: [20%, 90%].

Top model drivers: risk_tier (↑ 0.039), blocked_count_roll14_mean (↓ 0.038), incident_count_7d (↑ 0.034).

Risk trending down: forecast moved -14 percentage points over the last week.

No new incidents in the last 24 hours; 7 over the past 7 days.

Most recent: EG-2026-1689 — Censorship detected in EG (severity critical, observed 2026-09-10T00:00:00Z).

See /atlas/forecast/eg for the full calibrated forecast, /sentinel/backtest/eg for the prediction history, and /eg for the country profile.

WATCH · 29%

Myanmar censorship outlook

Risk band: WATCH — 29% max forecast over the next 7 days.

90% conformal interval: [0%, 64%].

Top model drivers: month (↓ 0.061), block_rate_roll7_std (↓ 0.038), block_rate_roll7_mean (↑ 0.031).

1 incident detected in the last 24 hours (8 in the last 7 days).

Most recent: MM-2026-2087 — Internet connectivity disruption in Myanmar (severity critical, observed 2026-09-11T00:04:00Z).

See /atlas/forecast/mm for the full calibrated forecast, /sentinel/backtest/mm for the prediction history, and /mm for the country profile.

Cuba CU

LOW · 3%

Cuba censorship outlook

Risk band: LOW — 3% max forecast over the next 7 days.

90% conformal interval: [0%, 38%].

Top model drivers: block_rate_roll7_mean (↓ 0.022), gdelt_unrest_30d (↓ 0.020), month (↓ 0.019).

No new incidents in the last 24 hours; 4 over the past 7 days.

Most recent: CU-2026-0603 — Internet censorship detected in Cuba (severity critical, observed 2026-09-09T00:00:00Z).

See /atlas/forecast/cu for the full calibrated forecast, /sentinel/backtest/cu for the prediction history, and /cu for the country profile.

LOW · 3%

Belarus censorship outlook

Risk band: LOW — 3% max forecast over the next 7 days.

90% conformal interval: [0%, 38%].

Top model drivers: gdelt_conflict_tone_7d (↓ 0.017), day_of_week (↓ 0.011), risk_tier (↓ 0.009).

Risk trending down: forecast moved -7 percentage points over the last week.

No new incidents in the last 24 hours; 6 over the past 7 days.

Most recent: BY-2026-1534 — Censorship detected in BY (severity critical, observed 2026-09-10T00:00:00Z).

See /atlas/forecast/by for the full calibrated forecast, /sentinel/backtest/by for the prediction history, and /by for the country profile.

HIGH · 95%

Pakistan censorship outlook

Risk band: HIGH — 95% max forecast over the next 7 days.

90% conformal interval: [60%, 100%].

Top model drivers: block_rate_roll7_std (↓ 0.043), month (↓ 0.039), critical_incident_7d (↑ 0.020).

Risk trending down: forecast moved -10 percentage points over the last week.

No new incidents in the last 24 hours; 8 over the past 7 days.

Most recent: PK-2026-1742 — Internet connectivity disruption in Pakistan (severity critical, observed 2026-09-10T14:15:00Z).

See /atlas/forecast/pk for the full calibrated forecast, /sentinel/backtest/pk for the prediction history, and /pk for the country profile.

LOW · 5%

Syria censorship outlook

Risk band: LOW — 5% max forecast over the next 7 days.

90% conformal interval: [0%, 40%].

Top model drivers: block_rate_roll7_mean (↓ 0.022), month (↓ 0.017), gdelt_unrest_30d (↑ 0.009).

No new incidents in the last 24 hours; 9 over the past 7 days.

Most recent: SY-2026-0863 — Internet connectivity disruption in Syria (severity critical, observed 2026-09-10T11:55:00Z).

See /atlas/forecast/sy for the full calibrated forecast, /sentinel/backtest/sy for the prediction history, and /sy for the country profile.

For AI agents

For AI agents

Each country's narrative is available at /v1/atlas/explain/{country} as JSON. Response shape:

{
  "schema": "voidly-atlas-explain/v1",
  "country": "IR",
  "country_name": "Iran",
  "headline_one_line": "Iran is currently in the HIGH band with a 7-day peak forecast of 89%",
  "markdown": "## Iran censorship outlook\n\n**Risk band: HIGH** — 89% max...",
  "structured": {
    "max_risk": 0.886,
    "max_risk_day": 7,
    "interval_90": [0.84, 0.93],
    "top_features": [...],
    "recent_incidents_24h": 0,
    "recent_incidents_7d": 5,
    "last_incident": {...},
    "trend_7d_delta": 0.799
  },
  "sources": { "endpoints_called": ["predict_risk", "incidents_table", "sentinel_forecasts"] }
}

Cache TTL: 15 min on the worker edge, 30 min ISR on this page. For a single-call dashboard digest aggregating all signals at once, use /v1/atlas/digest.

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