Active-learning candidate #10386
Iran IR · Oct 8, 2026
The classifier predicted 49.6% probability of censorship for Iran on Oct 8, 2026 — with a source-reported distance of 0.4pp from its decision threshold. Your label here closes the loop.
Probability
50%
Source flag: below 0.5
Reported distance
0.4pp
source-reported gap
Resolution
resolved
resolved wrong
Consensus need
3+ votes
independent reviewers
Why this candidate was flagged
- · very close to threshold
- · already resolved as wrong
- · high volume country
- · recent drift
Top SHAP contributions
| Feature | SHAP | Direction |
|---|---|---|
| -0.115 | ||
| -0.060 | ||
| -0.046 |
Scroll to see every column.
Source: /v1/forecast/IR/7day
Recent incidents in Iran
- Internet connectivity disruption in IranOct 23, 2026IR-2026-2531 · disruption · critical
- Internet connectivity disruption in IranOct 22, 2026IR-2026-2529 · disruption · critical
- Internet censorship detected in IranOct 21, 2026IR-2026-2532 · censorship · critical
- Internet connectivity disruption in IranOct 20, 2026IR-2026-2528 · disruption · critical
- Internet connectivity disruption in IranOct 19, 2026IR-2026-2526 · mixed · critical
- Internet connectivity disruption in IranOct 18, 2026IR-2026-2523 · mixed · critical
- Internet connectivity disruption in IranOct 17, 2026IR-2026-2522 · disruption · critical
- Internet connectivity disruption in IranOct 15, 2026IR-2026-2520 · mixed · critical
Suggest a label
Pick the outcome that actually happened on Oct 8, 2026 in Iran. Anonymous; no login required. Three independent reviewers must agree before a label is promoted into the next retrain dataset.
Related
- /ir — full country page for Iran
- /atlas/forecast/ir — 7-day forecast detail
- /sentinel/backtest/ir — per-country forecast accuracy
- /atlas/active-learning — back to the queue