Active-learning candidate #7280
Iran IR · Aug 18, 2026
The classifier predicted 48.5% probability of censorship for Iran on Aug 18, 2026 — sitting just 1.5pp from the 0.5 decision threshold. Your label here closes the loop.
Probability
49%
above 0.5
Distance from 0.5
1.5pp
uncertainty gap
Resolution
open
not yet resolved
Consensus need
3+ votes
independent reviewers
Why this candidate was flagged
- · very close to threshold
- · not yet resolved
- · high volume country
- · recent drift
Top SHAP contributions
| Feature | SHAP | Direction |
|---|---|---|
| -0.090 | ||
| -0.075 | ||
| +0.049 |
Source: /v1/forecast/IR/7day
Recent incidents in Iran
- Internet connectivity disruption in IranAug 20, 2026IR-2026-2381 · disruption · critical
- Censorship detected in IRAug 19, 2026IR-2026-2378 · censorship · critical
- Internet connectivity disruption in IranAug 18, 2026IR-2026-2374 · disruption · critical
- Censorship detected in IRAug 18, 2026IR-2026-2376 · censorship · critical
- Censorship detected in IRAug 17, 2026IR-2026-2373 · censorship · critical
- Internet connectivity disruption in IranAug 17, 2026IR-2026-2371 · mixed · critical
- Internet connectivity disruption in IranAug 16, 2026IR-2026-2368 · disruption · critical
- Censorship detected in IRAug 16, 2026IR-2026-2369 · censorship · critical
Suggest a label
Pick the outcome that actually happened on Aug 18, 2026 in Iran. Anonymous; no login required. Three independent reviewers must agree before a label is promoted into the next retrain dataset.
Related
- /ir — full country page for Iran
- /atlas/forecast/ir — 7-day forecast detail
- /sentinel/backtest/ir — per-country forecast accuracy
- /atlas/active-learning — back to the queue