Active-learning candidate #6417
Russia RU · Aug 4, 2026
The classifier predicted 47.0% probability of censorship for Russia on Aug 4, 2026 — sitting just 3.0pp from the 0.5 decision threshold. Your label here closes the loop.
Probability
47%
below 0.5
Distance from 0.5
3.0pp
uncertainty gap
Resolution
resolved
resolved correct
Consensus need
3+ votes
independent reviewers
Why this candidate was flagged
- · very close to threshold
- · already resolved as correct
- · high volume country
Top SHAP contributions
| Feature | SHAP | Direction |
|---|---|---|
| -0.134 | ||
| -0.048 | ||
| +0.044 |
Source: /v1/forecast/RU/7day
Recent incidents in Russia
- Internet connectivity disruption in RussiaAug 20, 2026RU-2026-3038 · disruption · critical
- Internet connectivity disruption in RussiaAug 19, 2026RU-2026-3033 · disruption · critical
- Censorship detected in RUAug 19, 2026RU-2026-3035 · censorship · critical
- Internet connectivity disruption in RussiaAug 18, 2026RU-2026-3030 · disruption · critical
- Censorship detected in RUAug 18, 2026RU-2026-3032 · censorship · critical
- Internet connectivity disruption in RussiaAug 17, 2026RU-2026-3027 · disruption · critical
- Censorship detected in RUAug 17, 2026RU-2026-3029 · censorship · critical
- Censorship detected in RUAug 16, 2026RU-2026-3025 · censorship · critical
Suggest a label
Pick the outcome that actually happened on Aug 4, 2026 in Russia. Anonymous; no login required. Three independent reviewers must agree before a label is promoted into the next retrain dataset.
Related
- /ru — full country page for Russia
- /atlas/forecast/ru — 7-day forecast detail
- /sentinel/backtest/ru — per-country forecast accuracy
- /atlas/active-learning — back to the queue