Active-learning candidate #5457
Russia RU · Jul 23, 2026
The classifier predicted 50.7% probability of censorship for Russia on Jul 23, 2026 — sitting just 0.7pp from the 0.5 decision threshold. Your label here closes the loop.
Probability
51%
above 0.5
Distance from 0.5
0.7pp
uncertainty gap
Resolution
resolved
resolved correct
Consensus need
3+ votes
independent reviewers
Why this candidate was flagged
- · very close to threshold
- · already resolved as correct
- · high volume country
Top SHAP contributions
| Feature | SHAP | Direction |
|---|---|---|
| -0.070 | ||
| -0.047 | ||
| +0.036 |
Source: /v1/forecast/RU/7day
Recent incidents in Russia
- Internet connectivity disruption in RussiaAug 13, 2026RU-2026-3018 · disruption · critical
- Internet connectivity disruption in RussiaAug 12, 2026RU-2026-3015 · disruption · critical
- Censorship detected in RUAug 12, 2026RU-2026-3016 · censorship · critical
- Internet connectivity disruption in RussiaAug 11, 2026RU-2026-3013 · disruption · critical
- Censorship detected in RUAug 11, 2026RU-2026-3014 · censorship · critical
- Internet connectivity disruption in RussiaAug 10, 2026RU-2026-3011 · disruption · critical
- Censorship detected in RUAug 10, 2026RU-2026-3012 · censorship · critical
- Internet connectivity disruption in RussiaAug 9, 2026RU-2026-3008 · disruption · critical
Suggest a label
Pick the outcome that actually happened on Jul 23, 2026 in Russia. Anonymous; no login required. Three independent reviewers must agree before a label is promoted into the next retrain dataset.
Related
- /ru — full country page for Russia
- /atlas/forecast/ru — 7-day forecast detail
- /sentinel/backtest/ru — per-country forecast accuracy
- /atlas/active-learning — back to the queue