Active-learning candidate #4218
Iran IR · Jul 6, 2026
The classifier predicted 48.4% probability of censorship for Iran on Jul 6, 2026 — sitting just 1.6pp from the 0.5 decision threshold. Your label here closes the loop.
Probability
48%
above 0.5
Distance from 0.5
1.6pp
uncertainty gap
Resolution
open
not yet resolved
Consensus need
3+ votes
independent reviewers
Why this candidate was flagged
- · very close to threshold
- · not yet resolved
- · high volume country
- · recent drift
Top SHAP contributions
| Feature | SHAP | Direction |
|---|---|---|
| -0.023 | ||
| -0.021 | ||
| -0.019 |
Source: /v1/forecast/IR/7day
Recent incidents in Iran
- Internet censorship detected in IranJul 5, 2026IR-2026-0960 · censorship · critical
- Internet connectivity disruption in IranJul 4, 2026IR-2026-0890 · disruption · critical
- Internet connectivity disruption in IranJul 3, 2026IR-2026-0856 · disruption · critical
- Sustained censorship in IR (2026-07)Jul 1, 2026IR-2026-0823 · censorship · critical
- Internet censorship detected in IranJul 1, 2026IR-2026-0821 · censorship · critical
- Internet censorship detected in IranJun 28, 2026IR-2026-0725 · censorship · critical
- Internet connectivity disruption in IranJun 26, 2026IR-2026-0666 · disruption · critical
- Internet connectivity disruption in IranJun 25, 2026IR-2026-0612 · disruption · critical
Suggest a label
Pick the outcome that actually happened on Jul 6, 2026 in Iran. Anonymous; no login required. Three independent reviewers must agree before a label is promoted into the next retrain dataset.
Related
- /ir — full country page for Iran
- /atlas/forecast/ir — 7-day forecast detail
- /sentinel/backtest/ir — per-country forecast accuracy
- /atlas/active-learning — back to the queue