Active-learning candidate #1159
Nicaragua NI · May 22, 2026
The classifier predicted 54.7% probability of censorship for Nicaragua on May 22, 2026 — sitting just 4.7pp from the 0.5 decision threshold. Your label here closes the loop.
Probability
55%
above 0.5
Distance from 0.5
4.7pp
uncertainty gap
Resolution
open
not yet resolved
Consensus need
3+ votes
independent reviewers
Why this candidate was flagged
- · very close to threshold
- · not yet resolved
- · recent drift
Top SHAP contributions
| Feature | SHAP | Direction |
|---|---|---|
| +0.038 | ||
| +0.033 | ||
| +0.025 |
Source: /v1/forecast/NI/7day
Recent incidents in Nicaragua
- Internet censorship detected in NicaraguaMay 10, 2026NI-2026-0016 · censorship · critical
- NI-2026-0015 · disruption · critical
- NI-2026-0014 · disruption · critical
- Internet connectivity disruption in NicaraguaApr 30, 2026NI-2026-0013 · disruption · critical
- Internet connectivity disruption in NicaraguaApr 29, 2026NI-2026-0012 · disruption · critical
- Internet connectivity disruption in NicaraguaApr 28, 2026NI-2026-0011 · disruption · critical
- Internet connectivity disruption in NicaraguaApr 27, 2026NI-2026-0010 · disruption · critical
- Internet connectivity disruption in NicaraguaApr 26, 2026NI-2026-0009 · disruption · critical
Suggest a label
Pick the outcome that actually happened on May 22, 2026 in Nicaragua. Anonymous; no login required. Three independent reviewers must agree before a label is promoted into the next retrain dataset.
Related
- /ni — full country page for Nicaragua
- /atlas/forecast/ni — 7-day forecast detail
- /sentinel/backtest/ni — per-country forecast accuracy
- /atlas/active-learning — back to the queue