Active-learning candidate #5878
Belarus BY · Jul 28, 2026
The classifier predicted 49.3% probability of censorship for Belarus on Jul 28, 2026 — sitting just 0.7pp from the 0.5 decision threshold. Your label here closes the loop.
Probability
49%
above 0.5
Distance from 0.5
0.7pp
uncertainty gap
Resolution
resolved
resolved wrong
Consensus need
3+ votes
independent reviewers
Why this candidate was flagged
- · very close to threshold
- · already resolved as wrong
- · high volume country
Top SHAP contributions
| Feature | SHAP | Direction |
|---|---|---|
| -0.048 | ||
| -0.038 | ||
| +0.027 |
Source: /v1/forecast/BY/7day
Recent incidents in Belarus
- Censorship detected in BYAug 12, 2026BY-2026-1492 · censorship · critical
- Censorship detected in BYAug 11, 2026BY-2026-1491 · censorship · critical
- Censorship detected in BYAug 10, 2026BY-2026-1490 · censorship · critical
- Censorship detected in BYAug 9, 2026BY-2026-1489 · censorship · critical
- Censorship detected in BYAug 8, 2026BY-2026-1488 · censorship · critical
- Censorship detected in BYAug 7, 2026BY-2026-1487 · censorship · critical
- Internet connectivity disruption in BelarusAug 6, 2026BY-2026-1485 · disruption · critical
- Censorship detected in BYAug 6, 2026BY-2026-1486 · censorship · critical
Suggest a label
Pick the outcome that actually happened on Jul 28, 2026 in Belarus. Anonymous; no login required. Three independent reviewers must agree before a label is promoted into the next retrain dataset.
Related
- /by — full country page for Belarus
- /atlas/forecast/by — 7-day forecast detail
- /sentinel/backtest/by — per-country forecast accuracy
- /atlas/active-learning — back to the queue