Active-learning candidate #3812
China CN · Invalid Date
The classifier predicted 51.8% probability of censorship for China on Invalid Date — sitting just 1.8pp from the 0.5 decision threshold. Your label here closes the loop.
Probability
52%
above 0.5
Distance from 0.5
1.8pp
uncertainty gap
Resolution
open
not yet resolved
Consensus need
3+ votes
independent reviewers
Why this candidate was flagged
- · very close to threshold
- · not yet resolved
- · high volume country
- · recent drift
Top SHAP contributions
| Feature | SHAP | Direction |
|---|---|---|
| -0.005 | ||
| -0.005 | ||
| -0.004 |
Source: /v1/forecast/CN/7day
Recent incidents in China
- Internet connectivity disruption in ChinaJun 30, 2026CN-2026-0425 · disruption · critical
- Internet connectivity disruption in ChinaJun 29, 2026CN-2026-0422 · disruption · critical
- Internet connectivity disruption in ChinaJun 23, 2026CN-2026-0409 · disruption · critical
- Internet connectivity disruption in ChinaJun 20, 2026CN-2026-0403 · disruption · critical
- Internet connectivity disruption in ChinaMay 12, 2026CN-2026-0249 · disruption · critical
- Internet connectivity disruption in ChinaMay 3, 2026CN-2026-0229 · disruption · critical
- Internet connectivity disruption in ChinaApr 28, 2026CN-2026-0219 · disruption · critical
- Internet connectivity disruption in ChinaApr 25, 2026CN-2026-0210 · disruption · critical
Suggest a label
Pick the outcome that actually happened on Invalid Date in China. Anonymous; no login required. Three independent reviewers must agree before a label is promoted into the next retrain dataset.
Related
- /cn — full country page for China
- /atlas/forecast/cn — 7-day forecast detail
- /sentinel/backtest/cn — per-country forecast accuracy
- /atlas/active-learning — back to the queue