Active Incident
Confirmed: internet outage in Russia
Russia · May 15, 2026 · Ongoing
IODA detected significant connectivity drop in Russia. 18 critical alerts recorded.
Evidence
29%
Anomaly Rate
18
Measurements
75%
Confidence
What This Means
29% of tests showed anomalies, above the typical 1-3% baseline. This suggests potential network interference.
How We Detected This
Data Sourceioda
ML ModelGradientBoosting v3.3 (LOCO median F1 0.87, honest across 127 countries)
Confidence Score75% certainty of censorship
Detection TimeMay 15, 2026
Corroborating Evidence (18)
Evidence collected from multiple independent sources. Upstream claims shown in quotes are not Voidly assertions.
IODAInternet Outage Detection & Analysis18 records
outage
"IODA detected critical level outage for Ingush"— IODA report
Signal value: 0.22
May 15, 2026
View source →outage
"IODA detected critical level outage for Belgorod"— IODA report
Signal value: 0.23
May 15, 2026
View source →outage
"IODA detected critical level outage for Karachay-Cherkess"— IODA report
Signal value: 0.46
May 15, 2026
View source →outage
"IODA detected critical level outage for Kostroma"— IODA report
Signal value: 0.56
May 15, 2026
View source →outage
"IODA detected critical level outage for Astrakhan'"— IODA report
Signal value: 0.30
May 15, 2026
View source →+ 13 more IODA records
What we cannot say
- Who caused it — measurement data alone does not attribute this to any government, ISP, or other actor.
- Intent — anomalous or unreachable measurements indicate interference, not a stated motive or a deliberate-vs-incidental determination.
- Which networks — no specific ASN/ISP is identified for this incident.
- The mechanism — we cannot state whether this was DNS tampering, TLS/SNI reset, an HTTP blockpage, throttling, or an infrastructure outage.
- A confirmed duration — we report the observation window, not a verified start/stop of any block.
- Sub-national scope — measurement is aggregated at the country level; we cannot localize to a province, city, or network segment.
- Independent corroboration — this rests on a single source; treat it as a single-source signal, not a multi-source confirmation.
Cite This Incident
Voidly Research. (2026). Confirmed: internet outage in Russia [RU-2026-0231]. Voidly Global Censorship Index. https://voidly.ai/incident/RU-2026-0231