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Voidly ResearchPublished
Forecast labels cleaned: IODA outages no longer count as confirmed censorship
The forecast target_7day label was treating IODA outage alerts as confirmed censorship — flooding April 2026 with 1,011 disruption labels across 167 countries (94% of all April incidents). We split the labeling so only confirmed-censorship incidents drive the forecast target. April positive rate…
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The forecast target_7day label was treating IODA outage alerts as confirmed censorship — flooding April 2026 with 1,011 disruption labels across 167 countries (94% of all April incidents). We split the labeling so only confirmed-censorship incidents drive the forecast target. April positive rate dropped from 79% to 21% and the dual-gate now accepts new models. New model promoted to production.
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