{"schema":"x2-d-public-commitment-v1","date":"2026-10-14","sha256":"d48a0cbe739eebb565278b095270e583d0d4763cc7b3cb933296c77c68169b69","arms":["notice_rule","logistic_history","climatology","persistence","random"],"status":"committed"}
{"record_type":"cutover","arm":"hazard_a","effective_from":"2026-10-17T06:00:00Z","pre_registered_sha256":"e2e9b984b7f95b1d35704ecd41836affaa63663438d1bf8d0d10945fd8201de6","note":"Pre-registration record for arm A v1 (calendar + history hazard), the reference arm from this issue. The hash is scripts/accuracy/hazard_a/A-PRETEST-PLAN.json. Frozen model, no refit inside its window. Finding: hazard-arm-a-development-negative-2026-10. No claim."}
{"schema":"x2-d-public-commitment-v1","date":"2026-10-15","sha256":"d88dcb5e4e7e2fbc892b4c9d0cd7ca25092dacdfdfea022efa5aab22f50535f5","arms":["notice_rule","logistic_history","climatology","persistence","random"],"status":"committed"}
{"schema":"x2-d-public-commitment-v1","date":"2026-10-16","sha256":"8fb93e2409a93cc1ee864266ac7d337190e3a70afd64199ee4f92342b168d086","arms":["notice_rule","logistic_history","climatology","persistence","random"],"status":"committed"}
{"schema":"x2-d-public-commitment-v1","date":"2026-10-17","sha256":"0f0f752909d0405101cc390eb0c3a3de76d13a82b8394bc77521eea86fa8e93d","arms":["notice_rule","logistic_history","climatology","persistence","random","hazard_a"],"status":"committed"}
{"schema":"x2-d-public-commitment-v1","date":"2026-10-18","sha256":"88f6bca8e969b4787d1ede1d859722bb5d7e8924d4be14da056e0f6c28655cbf","arms":["notice_rule","logistic_history","climatology","persistence","random","hazard_a"],"status":"committed"}
{"schema":"x2-d-public-commitment-v1","date":"2026-10-19","sha256":"104960f171163532b7d7cd74719c571950bbc0c0c4f66852901b5f92e3ed817f","arms":["notice_rule","logistic_history","climatology","persistence","random","hazard_a"],"status":"committed"}
{"schema":"x2-d-public-commitment-v1","date":"2026-10-20","sha256":"fd20ecadcf00facc74aec277887fca9551b74c8a35094895a649f62a6610fced","arms":["notice_rule","logistic_history","climatology","persistence","random","hazard_a"],"status":"committed"}
{"record_type":"cutover","arm":"logistic_history","effective_from":"2026-10-23T06:00:00Z","pre_registered_sha256":"4c0f0db3585775d11cf52e8bade518aaf09855aaec76dcbc6d3e8d82326fbd49","note":"Comparator populated from this issue: frozen logistic model 8c63c1fa on our own adjudicated label ledger (A-PRETEST-PLAN baselines). Issues 2026-10-14 to 10-22 logged it empty; those files are unchanged. Hash: scripts/accuracy/hazard_a/BASELINES-CUTOVER-V1.json. No claim."}
{"record_type":"cutover","arm":"climatology","effective_from":"2026-10-23T06:00:00Z","pre_registered_sha256":"4c0f0db3585775d11cf52e8bade518aaf09855aaec76dcbc6d3e8d82326fbd49","note":"Comparator populated from this issue: own-ledger climatology per unit, min(1, 7 x prior-365-day onsets / 365) (A-PRETEST-PLAN baselines). Issues 2026-10-14 to 10-22 logged it empty; those files are unchanged. Hash: scripts/accuracy/hazard_a/BASELINES-CUTOVER-V1.json. No claim."}
{"record_type":"cutover","arm":"persistence","effective_from":"2026-10-23T06:00:00Z","pre_registered_sha256":"4c0f0db3585775d11cf52e8bade518aaf09855aaec76dcbc6d3e8d82326fbd49","note":"Comparator populated from this issue: own-ledger persistence per unit, 1 after an onset in the prior 30 days, else climatology. Issues 2026-10-14 to 10-22 logged it empty; those files are unchanged. Hash: scripts/accuracy/hazard_a/BASELINES-CUTOVER-V1.json. No claim."}
{"record_type":"cutover","arm":"label_lane","effective_from":"2026-10-26T06:00:00Z","pre_registered_sha256":"40d565f8fadb1cac198c7fb27c128ebbd652863cc6f998458a45dfafcf51aeb7","note":"Label-lane v2 (labeler reading Cloudflare Radar, prompt 3e3dcf07, client) applies only to candidates whose evidence window starts after this issue: dates from 2026-11-26. Earlier candidates and labels keep v1. Hash: landing/public/early-warning/label-lane-v2.json. No claim."}
{"schema":"x2-d-public-commitment-v1","date":"2026-10-21","sha256":"afc5a2f08855b5fc49461bbf875ed0f3f86908d274d609b3e4a7efe9a4df4cb6","arms":["notice_rule","logistic_history","climatology","persistence","random","hazard_a"],"status":"committed"}
{"schema":"x2-d-public-commitment-v1","date":"2026-10-22","sha256":"ca16a30ac73977350e577eae5b3941420e7dd3b474c89c0377717415c4fcd154","arms":["notice_rule","logistic_history","climatology","persistence","random","hazard_a"],"status":"committed"}
{"schema":"x2-d-public-commitment-v1","date":"2026-10-23","sha256":"7c1bff33f69429bacee02ce510712b7d30210ff8bbb794584167d34e95a9c672","arms":["notice_rule","logistic_history","climatology","persistence","random","hazard_a"],"status":"committed"}
{"schema":"x2-d-public-commitment-v1","date":"2026-10-24","sha256":"4bd66cb7770006324403f29030f954de66260e14b884081a209a7272ea9831f1","arms":["notice_rule","logistic_history","climatology","persistence","random","hazard_a"],"status":"committed"}
{"schema":"x2-d-public-commitment-v1","date":"2026-10-25","sha256":"b392fade904c0183c3534bdcfeb5946be8a3ee47206ff646d37e043c8f4cba3a","arms":["notice_rule","logistic_history","climatology","persistence","random","hazard_a"],"status":"committed"}
{"record_type":"cutover","arm":"label_lane","effective_from":"2026-10-30T06:00:00Z","pre_registered_sha256":"39495975f2e056658c0516c26d24662471108e2770db0a7d54089bb74cb70bee","note":"Label-lane v3 (scheduled lane 30 min at 15-min resolution; campaign exam calendars; prompt a0175648) applies only to candidates dated 2026-11-30 or later. Earlier candidates and labels keep v1 or v2. Hash: landing/public/early-warning/label-lane-v3.json. No claim."}
{"record_type":"cutover","arm":"label_lane","effective_from":"2026-11-06T06:00:00Z","pre_registered_sha256":"7da6f5fafa084cfd042905d0bb35db7f3f574416e7e1011cc59201f4cc131753","note":"Label-lane v4 (strict robots, host allow-list, terms and noai holds, no Pulse input; prompt a0175648 unchanged) applies only to candidates dated 2026-12-07 or later. Earlier candidates and labels keep v1, v2 or v3. Hash: landing/public/early-warning/label-lane-v4.json. No claim."}